go to MSN.com
Originally written on Midwest Sports Fans  |  Last updated 11/20/14

There seems to be a lot of hand-wringing about this being a “down year” for college hoops. If you define the season by whether or not there is a truly dominant team, I guess that’s a fair statement. However, if you define the season by sheer entertainment value, this one has been pretty damn good. The same kinds of upsets that are celebrated during the NCAA Tournament are somehow being used as an indictment of the 2012-13 season, but I have no complaints about such an unpredictable year. Well, maybe one.   It makes putting together these bracket projections increasingly difficult since it feels like virtually everyone lost last week. Throw in oddball profiles like the one Virginia is building, and this becomes a tall order each Monday night. Maybe now that we are less than five weeks from Selection Sunday things will start to sort themselves out. But with the way this season has gone, I doubt it. The projections below take into account all games played through Monday, February 11th. MIDWEST (INDIANAPOLIS) SOUTH (DALLAS) Dayton – March 22nd/24th Lexington – March 21st/23rd 1) Indiana (21-3) 1) Miami, FL (19-3) 16) Western Illinois (18-5) 16) NC Central (17-7)/Southern (17-8) 8) Oklahoma (16-7) 8) Illinois (17-8) 9) Saint Louis (18-5) 9) VCU (19-5) San Jose – March 21st/23rd Austin – March 22nd/24th 5) San Diego State (18-5) 5) Ohio State (17-6) 12) Belmont (20-5) 12) Middle Tennessee (22-4) 4) Pittsburgh (20-5) 4) Kansas State (19-5) 13) Akron (19-4) 13) Louisiana Tech (21-3) Kansas City – March 22nd/24th San Jose – March 21st/23rd 6) Cincinnati (18-6) 6) Notre Dame (19-5) 11) Memphis (20-3) 11) Iowa State (16-7) 3) Kansas (20-4) 3) New Mexico (20-4) 14) Northeastern (17-8) 14) Montana (18-4) Lexington – March 21st/23rd Philadelphia – March 22nd/24th 7) North Carolina State (17-7) 7) UCLA (18-6) 10) Colorado (16-7) 10) Wichita State (20-5) 2) Florida (19-3) 2) Syracuse (20-3) 15) Florida Gulf Coast (18-8) 15) Vermont (16-7) EAST (WASHINGTON, DC) WEST (LOS ANGELES) Auburn Hills – March 21st/23rd Philadelphia – March 22nd/24th 1) Michigan (21-3) 1) Duke (21-2) 16) Niagara (14-11)/UNC-Asheville (15-10) 16) Bryant (16-6) 8) Creighton (20-5) 8) Colorado State (19-4) 9) Kentucky (17-6) 9) Missouri (17-6) Kansas City – March 22nd/24th Austin – March 22nd/24th 5) Oklahoma State (17-5) 5) Georgetown (18-4) 12) Boise State (16-7)/Saint Mary’s (21-4) 12) Baylor (15-8)/Indiana State (16-8) 4) Butler (20-4) 4) Wisconsin (17-7) 13) Bucknell (20-4) 13) Stephen F. Austin (20-2) Dayton – March 22nd/24th Salt Lake City – March 21st/23rd 6) Minnesota (17-7) 6) Marquette (17-6) 11) North Carolina (16-7) 11) Temple (16-7) 3) Louisville (19-5) 3) Gonzaga (23-2) 14) Davidson (17-7) 14) Valparaiso (19-6) Salt Lake City – March 21st/23rd Auburn Hills – March 21st/23rd 7) UNLV (18-6) 7) Oregon (19-5) 10) La Salle (16-6) 10) Mississippi (18-5) 2) Arizona (20-3) 2) Michigan State (20-4) 15) Princeton (11-8) 15) Long Beach State (14-9) ———————– Last Four In Saint Mary’s The Gaels just need to keep winning, and unlike many of their bubble brethren, they are doing just that. Thursday begins a critical 10-day stretch that features home dates with Gonzaga, BYU, and Creighton, with a road trip to Loyola Marymount squeezed in the middle.  Going 3-1 in that stretch would give Saint Mary’s a little breathing room. Anything less and things start to get dicey. Indiana State Last week’s win against Creighton gave the Sycamores their fourth Top 50 win, and they avoided another brutal loss with a one-point victory over Southern Illinois over the weekend. The neutral court win over a Reggie Johnson-less Miami squad looks better with each passing week, but three sub-150 losses still have ISU in a tenuous position. For this week, the Sycamores need to avoid road slip-ups against Missouri State and Bradley. Baylor At this point the Bears have just one win against the RPI Top 45, have lost three of four, and have beaten one tournament-caliber team since early December. Their November win over St. John’s is useful for bubble purposes, but that won’t be enough if they can’t start beating people. Baylor needs to take care of business at home versus West Virginia before a tough road test at the Octagon against K-State. Boise State The fact that Jeff Elorriaga missed three of their conference losses helps, but he also hasn’t been particularly productive since returning. As it stands, the Broncos are below .500 in the league with road games left at New Mexico and UNLV as well as home dates with Colorado State and San Diego State. If they can win their three other conference games and split those four, their profile would look pretty good. Anything less and they are in serious trouble. First Five Out Virginia The Cavaliers have the most confounding profile I can remember in recent years (or maybe ever). On the one hand, they are 6-0 against the RPI Top 100 with home wins against North Carolina and North Carolina State and road victories over Wisconsin and Maryland. On the other hand, all six losses have come to teams ranked 120th or lower, including a sub-300 loss to Old Dominion. You can’t overlook the good wins or the bad losses, which lands them directly on the fence without much historical precedent for how the committee may treat them. The next few weeks will be telling with road trips to UNC and Miami as well as a home game against Duke. Arizona State Saturday’s home loss to Stanford pushed the Sun Devils out of the field. They have four Top 100 wins at this point and just one sub-100 loss, which is a 17-point home defeat to DePaul. The biggest issue is that nine of their 18 D-1 wins have come against sub-200 squads. With five of ASU’s final seven games on the road, it will be an uphill battle for Herb Sendek’s club. The Sun Devils certainly can’t afford to lose at Utah this week and would be well-served to steal one at Colorado over the weekend. St. John’s The Red Storm have won six of their last eight games, including wins over Notre Dame and UConn. However, non-conference losses to San Francisco and UNC-Asheville loom large, as does a disappointing home loss to Rutgers. Similar to ASU, St. John’s has racked up seven of its 15 wins over sub-190 teams. The remaining Big East schedule will tell the tale, with four games against teams in the RPI Top 50 (at Louisville, Pittsburgh, at Notre Dame, Marquette) and a road trip to Providence sprinkled in. Villanova After a home loss to Providence, the Wildcats held serve last week by beating DePaul and South Florida, but neither win really moves the needle for their NCAA hopes. Victories over Louisville and Syracuse obviously hold a lot of weight, but their next best wins are against St. John’s and St. Joseph’s. Unfortunately those are somewhat offset by an 18-point loss to Columbia and the fact they were swept by Providence. This is a huge week for ‘Nova with road trips to Cincinnati and UConn on tap. Massachusetts The Minutemen are quietly 6-3 in the A-10 with two of those losses coming by a combined four points. They are also 6-2 in true road games, but the wins at Northeastern and La Salle are the only ones that hold much weight.  UMass is 5-5 versus the Top 100, but losses against Tennessee in Puerto Rico and at home versus George Washington certainly don’t help the cause. Much like Villanova, the Minutemen have a pair of important games this week as they travel to VCU before hosting Temple on Saturday. ******* Here is how the bids broke out by conference: Big East (7): Cincinnati, Georgetown, Louisville, Marquette, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Syracuse Big Ten (7): Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Ohio State, Wisconsin Big 12 (6): Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State Atlantic 10 (5): Butler, La Salle, Saint Louis, Temple, VCU Mountain West (5): Boise State, Colorado State, New Mexico, San Diego State, UNLV Pac-12 (4): Arizona, Colorado, Oregon, UCLA ACC (4): Duke, Miami (FL), North Carolina, North Carolina State SEC (4): Florida, Kentucky, Missouri, Ole Miss Missouri Valley (3): Creighton, Indiana State, Wichita State West Coast (2): Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s America East: Vermont Atlantic Sun: Florida Gulf Coast Big Sky: Montana Big South: UNC-Asheville Big West: Long Beach State Colonial: Northeastern Conference USA: Memphis Horizon: Valparaiso Ivy: Princeton MAAC: Niagara MAC: Akron MEAC: North Carolina Central Northeast: Bryant Ohio Valley: Belmont Patriot: Bucknell Southern: Davidson Southland: Stephen F. Austin Summit: Western Illinois Sun Belt: Middle Tennessee SWAC: Southern WAC: Louisiana Tech ********** Follow me on Twitter (@andybottoms) for more thoughts on college hoops. The post NCAA Tournament Bracket Projections: February 12th appeared first on Midwest Sports Fans.

GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Kyle Lowry isn't exactly endorsing coach Dwayne Casey

J.R. Smith suspended two games for hitting Jae Crowder

Duke takes over as the No. 1 recruiting class

Kevin Love not expected to be available next series

Titans have reportedly been 'all over' Marcus Mariota

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Report: Browns talked with Redskins about trading up

Doc Rivers tore into Clippers in film room after blowout loss

Jon Jones facing felony charge for leaving scene of crime

Josh Hamilton officially traded back to Rangers

Report: Landing Adrian Peterson too costly for Cardinals

Report: Antonio Brown joins Steelers voluntary work outs

Report: Brady was at stadium day of White House visit

Arkansas has leather belt to commemorate Texas Bowl win

John Angelos, Orioles got it right with Freddie Gray protest

Belichick's girlfriend fine with coach checking out Teigen

V. Stiviano posts birthday message to 'BFF' Donald Sterling

Mark Cuban and the inevitable playoff peril of the Mavs

Wizards made Raptors look bad while remaking themselves

Previewing Game 7 showdown between Islanders and Capitals

WATCH: Rick Carlisle tapes mouth shut so he can't rip refs

NFL Draft 2015: Ranking the quarterbacks

Greg Hardy faces teammate, Cowboys locker room leak

Top 10 storylines for the 2015 NFL Draft

College Basketball News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
RUMORS & GOSSIP

Kyle Lowry isn't exactly endorsing coach Dwayne Casey

The Toronto Raptors are trying to recover from a stunningly swift exit from the playoffs, and point guard Kyle Lowry voiced some frustrations at his exit interview with the media Monday. The Raptors won the Atlantic Division with a 49-33 record during the regular season and were seeded fourth in the Eastern Conference. Still, they...Read More
Via Larry Brown Sports
4 hours ago

J.R. Smith suspended two games for hitting Jae Crowder

As if the day following the Cavaliers finishing the sweep over the Boston Celtics could not get any worse, the NBA has announced that JR Smith has been suspended two games. This coming after the news that Kevin Love will miss the entire upcoming Eastern Conference Semifinal series with a dislocated shoulder. During Sunday’s game and after an already very physical couple of quarters...
Via Waiting For Next Year
3 hours ago

Duke takes over as the No. 1 recruiting class

The 2015 basketball recruiting cycle is almost over, but we’ve seen a ton of shuffling over the last few weeks at the top of the various team rankings. The latest update at the top come with five-star forward Brandon Ingram’s commitment to Mike Krzyzewski and Duke. In 247Sports’ composite team rankings, Ingram’s commitment has pushed the Blue Devils up seven spots into first...
Via College Spun
4 hours ago

Kevin Love not expected to be available next series

In what could be a major blow to the Cleveland Cavaliers title hopes, power forward Kevin Love will reportedly be unavailable when his team takes on either the Chicago Bulls or Milwaukee Bucks in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Love, who suffered a dislocated shoulder in Cleveland’s series-clinching Game 4 win over the Boston Celtics, apparently won’t be ready to go at any...
Via Sportsnaut
5 hours ago

Titans have reportedly been 'all over' Marcus Mariota

While Jameis Winston appears to be a lock to go No. 1 overall in the NFL draft to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, there is less certainty about what will happen with Marcus Mariota. It is widely accepted that Mariota is the No. 2 quarterback prospect and will likely go in the top 10, possibly as...Read More
Via Larry Brown Sports
5 hours ago

Report: Browns talked with Redskins about trading up

The Cleveland Browns appear to be interested in moving up in the draft, possibly to take a quarterback. NFL Media’s Ian Rapoport reported Monday that the Browns had conversations with the Redskins about potentially moving up to No. 5 in Thursday’s draft. Rapoport adds that the Browns have had talks with most of the teams...Read More
Via Larry Brown Sports
6 hours ago

Doc Rivers tore into Clippers in film room after blowout loss

The Los Angeles Clippers felt the full wrath of coach Doc Rivers after they dropped Game 3 of their first-round playoff series in embarrassing fashion. One day after the Clippers’ 100-73 loss to the San Antonio Spurs on Friday, Rivers tore into his team during a heated, two-hour film session. “Doc pretty much went at all of us,” point guard Chris Paul said, via ESPN.com....
Via NESN.com
6 hours ago

Jon Jones facing felony charge for leaving scene of crime

UFC light heavyweight champion Jon Jones is facing a felony charge after he was allegedly involved in a hit and run in Albuquerque, N.M., early Sunday morning. Initially, it appeared that Jones would be facing a misdemeanor even if it was determined that he was the man who fled the scene of the accident. However,...Read More
Via Larry Brown Sports
7 hours ago

Josh Hamilton officially traded back to Rangers

The long-anticipated deal sending outfielder Josh Hamilton from the Los Angeles Angels back to the Texas Rangers is now complete. Through their Twitter account, the Angels announced that they have received a player to be named later or cash considerations from Texas for the former American League MVP. Today the #Angels have traded OF Josh Hamilton to Texas for a player to be...
Via Sportsnaut
8 hours ago

Report: Landing Adrian Peterson too costly for Cardinals

Despite what head coach Bruce Arians says, the Arizona Cardinals do have some significant holes on their roster to fill. One of the biggest ones is at running back. Arizona finished second to last in total rushing yards for the 2014 season and averaged a league-low 3.3 yards per carry. It would be hard to find a better upgrade at the position than Adrian Peterson, but apparently...
Via cover32
9 hours ago
Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
Help
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.