Found October 02, 2013 on Metta Chronicles:
In-state rivals Utah and BYU get set to face off this week in a game that will decide, at least for the time being, the third worst (or best, depending on how nice you want to be) team in the state. AccuScore simulated the matchup 10,000 times – Utah State is a solid 72.7 percent favorite to win. The average score in the simulations is 32-21, with the Aggies covering the -6.5 point spread in nearly 60 percent of the simulations. What stands out most when looking at the simulation data is BYU’s probability of committing multiple turnovers. Utah State is projected to get at least 1 more sack than BYU, and has almost twice the chance of forcing an INT or fumble. The Cougars have to limit their turnovers this week. Keep in mind, even though BYU had a easy win versus Middle Tennessee, the Cougars did fumble the ball four times and threw an INT. Any extra opportunities they give to Aggies QB Chuckie Keeton will result in points on the board. Big Game Potential: Aggie QB Chuckie Keeton has thrown more TDs (17) and three less INTs (1) so far this year than Johnny Manziel (14 TDs, 4 INTs). Do not give Keeton time in the pocket. Projected Leaders Passing: Taysom Hill (BYU) 233.9 yds | Chuckie Keeton (Utah St.) 191.6 yds Rushing: Jamaal Williams (BYU) 74.6 yds | Joey DeMartino (Utah St.) 71.8 yds | Joe Hill (Utah St.) 67.8 yds Receiving: Cody Hoffman (BYU) 74.0 yds | Travis Van Leeuwen (Utah St.) 35.3 yds
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