Last year, we at TSR did a small preview of some teams that we believed were ranked too high to start the season. We did OK
, nailing Miami, Florida, and Ohio State. Now, it's time to do that to the 2012 polls.
Starting at the bottom....
USA Today: #23
Capsule after the jump....
The Gators start at the bottom of the polls this year, but have bigger question marks this season than they did last season. Coach Will Muscamp has yet to determine who the starting quarterback is. Jacoby Brissett would seem to have the advantage since he played some last year, but that isn't the case. Jeff Driskell is nursing a sore shoulder, so Brissett finally has the opportunity to take more snaps in practice.
Chris Johnson, who came to Gainesville as a safety, played linebacker last year, and is now being moved to running back. Let's hear it for musical chairs! The Gators' top returning back is Mike Gillislee, who had 56 carries last year.
The movement of players around, I believe, speaks to a bigger issue with recruiting. Is Muschamp not getting the players that he needs, or did Urban Meyer leave the cupboard bare? Either way, it looks like the Gators are still another two years from contending for even an SEC East title.
As for the schedule, I see four games they should win without a problem. Keep in mind, that includes UL of Lafayette, whom TSR fell in love with last year as they were on their way to a stunning 6-2 Sun Belt record after being picked to finish last. Playing at Vanderbilt will be much tougher than it has been in previous trips, and that is sandwiched in between home games against LSU and South Carolina. Vegas odds have yet to be posted of course, but don't be surprised if that's anywhere near a field goal either way.
Sportsbook.com has the Gators win total at over 8 (-135) or go against the gran and go under 8 at +105. I'm taking the under. No, I'm not picking on Florida. At no point last year did they impress me, and I'm surprised they're ranked in pre-season polls.