Originally written on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 11/9/14
Mlb-braves-astros-mar
  How’s that for a short answer? But seriously, year after year we end up saying, “so and so had how many saves?” This year it was Jim Johnson and Fernando Rodney that surprised us. Next year it will be another pair of guys. Joe Nathan came back after his Tommy John struggles. Newsflash: Saves are unpredictable! It’s time for some more proof. Will picking Craig Kimbrel 58th overall (ADP according to MockDraftCentral.com) in your draft kill your chances at a championship? Probably not because he’s that damn good, but I bet people who drafted him last year over Buster Posey, Aramis Ramirez, or even Shin-Soo Choo regretted it come September. The extra strikeouts are nice, but you could also get those same strikeouts (and then some) by streaming one pitcher per week. Case #1: Jim Johnson has always been a pitcher who induced a lot of groundballs (career 57.7 GB%) with great control (career 1.93 BB/9). So why did he break out and save 51 games in 2012? Well, the Orioles were an unrepe...
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