Originally written on The Outside Corner  |  Last updated 2/28/13
Continuing from our season preview of the Baltimore Orioles earlier today... Can the Orioles recapture their 2012 magic? Every Oriole fan has heard this over and over again in the last year. -Baltimore only had a +7 run differential -The Orioles went an unrepeatable 29-9 in one-run games -The O's lucked into an incredible 16-2 record in extra inning games Baltimore's pythagorean record had them winning just 82 Those are all just veiled ways of saying that the stats all say the Orioles stunk in 2012 and never should have made the playoffs. Well, you know what? They did. It happened. Deal with it. Now it is up to the Orioles to prove all of their detractors wrong once again this season. There is no doubt they have the will to take on the challenge, the problem is that all the naysayers could very well be right. All of those oft-repeated pieces of evidence that the 2012 Orioles were nothing but a fluke are very hard to argue against. Run differential and records in one-run games are pretty tried and true indicators of how good or how lucky a team really is. Obviously, there are exceptions to those rules from year to year but seldom ever over prolonged periods of time. There is a first time for everything though, right, Baltimore? If ever there was a team set to put the veracity of those assumptions to the test, it is the 2013 Orioles since their roster is almost exactly the same as the 2012 Orioles. That is either a stroke of genius from GM Dan Duquette or a tacit admission that he knows the team really isn't that good and he's not going to disrupt his long-term rebuilding plan just because his club had a horseshoe, rabbit's foot and four-leaf clover jammed up their posterior for one season. Believe it or not, there actually is some evidence that the Orioles could very much be for real. Looking at that supposedly damning run differential in 2012 is a big knock against the O's, but split that sucker in two and one can see that Baltimore actually rattled off a +43 differential in the second half of the season to go with a 48-29 record over that span. Here's the crazy thing about that, that run differential actually translates to a 92-win pace over the course of a full season. Hmm, that's awfully close to their actual 93-win total in 2012, isn't it? That, naturally, begs the question of how they defied the odds in the first half of the season where they managed to a 45-40 record in spite of a -36 run differential? That leads us to two possible conclusions: 1) The Orioles were a really good team that had an underachieving run differential in the first half, but caught some breaks and still had a decent record during that stretch and then played up to their talent level in the second half. 2) The Orioles were a bad team that got insanely lucky in the first half and then wildly overachieved in the second half. This is sort of a baseball version of the age old question of whether or not the glass is half-empty or half-full. So, which side do you come out on? Orioles on TOC End of Season Postmortem 2013 Season Preview You May Say I'm a Dreamer 2013 Burning Question This Is My Nightmare (2:00 PM) X-Factor (3:15 PM) [follow]
GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Urban Meyer hints JT Barrett leads Ohio State starting QB competition

Boras: Marlins players are angry Marcell Ozuna is in minors

Report: Chancellor officially holding out of training camp

Cardinals' Jen Welter is 'tired of hearing about Tom Brady's balls'

Sandoval downplays talk about weight, conditioning, defense

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Astros acquire Carlos Gomez from Brewers

Richardson charged for resisting arrest after high-speed chase

Yankees finally get Dustin Ackley

Five most overrated teams in the CFB preseason coaches’ poll

Murphy pulled players to give media ‘something to think about’

Robert Kraft signs fan’s ‘Free Brady’ poster

Giants acquire Mike Leake from Reds for two prospects

Twins closer's wife pens essay about Twitter hate he's enduring

Kings set to make Lieberman NBA’s second female coach

Is Julius Randle a star?

Projecting the prospects in the David Price trade

'Miracle on Ice' goalie selling Olympic gear for $5.7 million

Josh Smith addresses ‘harder on me’ comment in essay

Examining the state of the NFL

Steelers players: Who is Jimmy Garoppolo?

Tigers’ reboot continues, Joakim Soria traded to Pirates

Matthews ‘felt disrespected’ Blazers didn’t try to re-sign him

Cardinals ink billion dollar TV deal from Fox Sports Midwest

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Examining the state of the NFL

Puig: Broke out of slump by playing baseball video games

Braves dump risk, exchange it for risk

David Price traded to Blue Jays

The indefensible Hulk Hogan

Cole Hamels chose Rangers over Astros

Can Preller fix the mess in San Diego?

Next summer's top 10 NBA free agents

Who is the NL's new top shortstop?

Cardinals HC Bruce Arians calls Jen Welter a 'trailblazer'

Mets still act like a small-market team

Tom Brady: I did nothing wrong

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker