Our 2013 projections turn to the north side of Chicago where we examine two Cubs with plate discipline issues, but also significant upside. Can Alfonso Soriano stave off a regression at his age? Can Starlin Castro make a big progression at his age?
Alfonso Soriano
2013 Age: 37 - Splits: Slight vs RHP
2013 Projection: 502 AB, .249/.317/.475, 27 HR, 90 RBI, 65 R, 4 SB
Notes: Soriano did a couple of things really well in 2012 to produce his bounce-back season: 1) He stayed healthy. 2) He showed a slight improvement in plate discipline and lowered his fly-ball and pop-up rates. The bad news is that: 1) He'll be 37 in 2012 with a track record of being injury prone. 2) His plate discipline was still quite poor against league standards and it's unlikely that we see continued growth in his line drive rate given his age and track record.
Upside: .260/.333 with 30-plus HR and 100 RBI
Downside: Age and injuries lead to .235/.290 with around 20 HRs
...
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November 25, 2012





