I have been writing a series of posts that seem to take issues with how projection
systems predict certain players over the course of the 2013 season. It may seem like I
have an issue with projection systems. The fact is that I do not. When you put all of
their projections together, the margin for error is quite small. All of them pretty much
work the same way. You plug in the numbers that have been compiled to date and run
the algorithms a few thousand times and see what spits out. Of course, I have no
idea what I'm talking about, but that is my weak and general understanding of them.
But there are cases where the projections do not seem to make sense. Either they are
too pessimistic or too optimistic. One of those for me is Allen Craig of the St. Louis
Let me cover my bases here a bit and admit that I am a bit obsessed with Allen Craig.
And it is quite complicated an obsession. Part of it is a deep-rooted dislike for Albert
Pujols and the deep-seated hope ...