The Blaine Boyer experiment, mercifully now over, sounds exactly like a story about Las Vegas I heard just a few weeks ago.
My father made the trek to Sin City for business, with plenty to do. But along the way, a small group found their way to a blackjack table. An experienced card player, two pushes – on a 21 and 20 – was the best he could do in the first 10 hands. The odds at this point suggested he should stick around and his luck would change. Wrong, he got up after the dealer went 30 hands without busting once.
He heard later an associate went back later to the same dealer, deciding the bad luck was gone and good old math would make him rich. It didn’t take long for Lady Luck to abandon him as well.
My point is that choosing major league baseball players is a crapshoot, especially in the bullpen. Middle, long and specialized relievers all tend to be rejected starters. Sometimes they find a niche and have long-term success, but most have stats that bounce around as much as the...
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