The Phillies after missing out on some big name free agents are beginning to shape up well, sort of average on paper. The way it looks now the Phillies are pinning their hopes on Howard and Utley to have bounce back years. While this is certainly plausible, “hope” is not very inspiring. It is all in the numbers and if we take a look at the projected lineup for this coming season the Phillies will need more than just our two aging stars.
Last Season player numbers:
Ave HRS OBP HOPE> HRS OBP
Revere CF .294 0 .347
Rollins SS .250 23 .316
Utley 2B .256 11 .365 25 .400
Howard 1B .219 14 .295 35 .320
Young 3B .277 8 .347 20 .365
Ruff LF .333 3 .351 25 .350
Ruiz* C .325 16 .394
Brown RF .235 5 .316 15 .330
Outfield, with Mayberry and Nix complete the outfield that is a projected platoon as of today. Without any other signing this looks to be troublesome. Ruff, who is an unknown to this point with little MLB experience could be the answer to eliminate one platoon. If the Phillies can get early production from Ruff, it is likely he will slide up to bat fifth behind Howard. What the Phillies need overall from Ruff for the season, 25 hrs and 90 rbi and an average around .275 would be ideal. Sliding Ruff up to fifth would leave Young to bat sixth or possibly second. Young who has declining numbers can also be added to the list for bounce back seasons with Howard and Utley. Anything near 20 home runs for Young will be a great season for him and the Phillies. Platoon of Brown and Nix? Lets get on board AGAIN with Brown will have a coming out year!! Getting 15 home runs from Brown and a .250 average might land him the starting right field job. So to add in plenty of hope the numbers do look better on paper. Is it enough to win the NL East?
*Ruiz to start season suspended
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