Found January 15, 2013 on
Fox Sports Detroit:
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
The Baltimore Orioles arent interested in trading shortstop J.J. Hardy to Detroit for starter Rick Porcello.
They may be more willing to trade closer Jim Johnson.
At first blush, that seems odd. But theres a sabermetric rationale behind it.
Johnson could have a superb 2013 season and still not approach what he accomplished last year: He led the majors with 51 saves, made his first All-Star appearance and was one of the most dominant relievers in baseball. He turns 30 this June, so hes right in the middle of his prime.
At the moment, Porcello is probably the best fifth starter in baseball -- considering his potential (still young at 24) and the Tigers pitching depth. Porcello is coming off an unspectacular season, 10-12 with a 4.59 ERA. But his numbers would improve with a better defensive infield -- which the Orioles have, with the likes of Hardy and Manny Machado.
Porcello is three seasons away from free agency, Johnson only two. Porcello has averaged a little more than 170 innings per year over his major-league career. Johnson logged just under 70 in 2012, within the normal range for a closer on a winning team.
So, Porcello figures to throw more than 500 innings before becoming a free agent. Johnson might offer only 140. Put another way: Johnson, with less than one-third of Porcellos expected workload, would need to pitch pretty spectacularly over the next two seasons in order to be more valuable than a theoretically improved Porcello.
If Orioles general manager Dan Duquette is willing to move Johnson in the right deal, the availability of replacements would be one reason why. Free agent Rafael Soriano is unsigned, along with buy-low candidates Brian Wilson and Jose Valverde. The open market remains laden with semi-closer types like Brandon Lyon and Matt Lindstrom. Pedro Strop and Luis Ayala are internal candidates to close.
The Tigers, meanwhile, would like to add a veteran to the back end of the bullpen, in case Bruce Rondon isnt ready to close for a World Series contender at age 22 -- without having thrown a pitch in the major leagues.
BEST OF MAXIM
So the Rick Porcello trade rumors continue as Jon Morosi reports that the Arizona Diamondbacks are now interested in the young starting pitcher.
#Mariners and #DBacks have had talks with the #Tigers about acquiring Rick Porcello, sources say.
— Jon Morosi (@jonmorosi) January 14, 2013
Morosi adds that the Tigers will more than likely ask for a shortstop, late-inning reliever or...
It isn’t on Justin Upton’s level, but the Rick Porcello trade saga continues …
The Detroit Tigers, who have six starting pitchers, have continued to discuss Porcello with the Arizona Diamondbacks, Seattle Mariners and perhaps other teams, according to major-league sources.
The Tigers likely would ask for a shortstop, late-inning reliever or right-handed-hitting outfielder in...
Baltimore Orioles shortstop J.J. Hardy recently had his name
tossed around in trade rumors, but manager Buck Showalter indicated to
reporters, including Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports, that the team isn’t
interested in dealing the veteran.
Asked Buck Showalter if #orioles would have to be overwhelmed by offer to trade J.J. Hardy. "What word is above "overwhelmed...
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