Found October 25, 2011 on MLB Trade Rumors:
Yesterday, I discussed the model that I developed for MLBTR to predict arbitration salaries. The model uses similar information to that which arbitration panels use to determine salaries, and generates an estimate for players that is very close to the actual salary the players earn. Today, I’ll talk a little bit about the salaries of hitters. One of the most important determinants of a hitter's salary is playing time. For position players, this comes in the form of plate appearances. While it shouldn't be surprising that back-ups make less than regulars, position players who make it onto the field every day get paid more. For example, Hunter Pence got a $3.4MM raise last year for hitting .282 with 25 HR and 91 RBI, but with 658 PA. Adam LaRoche hit .270 with 25 HR and 85 RBI in 2009, but only got a $2.15MM raise for his 554 PA. This year, we predict Nelson Cruz only managing a $2.1MM raise despite 29 HR and 87 RBI, due to his 513 PA, while we have Hunter Pence getting a...
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"The sty's the limit with Matt Kemp!" Thanks to Fred's Brim for the link to this article about fantasy baseball: Modest Farmer, Managing Mogul (NY Times) Thanks to Steve K. for the link to this behind-the-scenes look at the Astros unloading Hunter Pence and Michael Bourn. Anatomy of a Baseball Trade (Businessweek) photo by Rajah Bose/New York Times
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