Originally written January 07, 2012 on Chop-N-Change:
Orioles_vs_royals_9d53
These god forsaken Adam Jones rumors JUST WON'T STOP, so I figured I'd briefly touch on them. When it comes down to Martin Prado or Adam Jones on the Braves, the two players are rather similar. Prado made $3.1 million in 2011, and has two more seasons of team control. Jones made $3.25 million, and also has two more seasons of control left. 

Neither player has great plate discipline. Jones walks at 4.8% for his career, while Prado is at 6.6%. Prado strikes out a lot less, 11.3% of the time, compared to Jones and his 19.7% rate. Jones has more power, with a .161 ISO compared to Prado's .141.

Defensively, Prado is a +12 over his career at first, second, third and left field (and a brief tenure at short), with +4 of that coming in the outfield. Jones is a +16 in his career, all coming in the outfield. He had a positive mark every year of his career until last season, when he was a -9 in center.

If Jones is shifted to left field, I think he provides a much higher ceiling defensively than Prado, a converted infielder. Remember, the majority of Jones' defensive numbers have come in center, with more ground to cover. He could be a phenomenal defender in left, where he's a +3 in just 119 innings.

If you look at just the past three years on offense (which excludes the early part of each player's career when they were still maturing), the battle becomes a little closer. Jones holds a slight edge with a .338 wOBA compared to Prado's .334. Their walk rates also come a little closer, with Jones at 5.0% and Prado at 6.3%. The ISO gap also widens, with Jones improving to .174 and Prado remaining relatively constant at .144.

Looking at things from an overall player standpoint, Prado's versatility gives him an edge over Jones due to his ability to play three of the four infield positions. But the Braves are looking for a left fielder right now, not a bench player. If you compare them just as outfielders, I'd give Jones the edge due to his potential superstar defense in left. We know he's historically been good in center, and that should translate well to left.

Neither guy is an ideal fit due to both players having an adversity to the base on balls. But I think in an even, one for one swap, Jones would be the player I'd prefer. Apparently, the Orioles want more than just Prado for Jones, which is a deal I'd balk at. In a straight up deal though, I'd probably end up taking Jones. 
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