Originally posted on isportsweb.com  |  Last updated 9/10/12

The task is less daunting than it appears for Jimmy Rollins and the Philadelphia Philies.  But is there enough time on the clock to sneak into the postseason party?  Remember, the poll for Masked September is here, if you haven’t voted yet.

TAL’S HANDY CAPS

 

WELCOME, NEWCOMERS:

I will publish after every battle that is not washed out.  I will have many summer-long highlights of puzzle pieces, especially important after drubbings and defeats. If you were directed here by a feed and this review does not mention yesterday’s contest, please go to the Phillies page for my most recent coverage. (Early morning readers may arrive before the latest post.) Scroll down to Tal’s Handy Links at the bottom. Thank you.

 

Check out:  Philadelphia Phillies storyline: Weird to bizarre?

 

CAP-SIZE HINDSIGHT:    3-2 Triumph In Game 1

TYPEPLAYERREASON The Crystal Champagne ToastJohn Mayberry Jr.Five-Star Performance The Penthouse Ryan Howard
Cole Hamels
John Mayberry Jr.A 2-Run Double To Tie It At 2 In The 3rd
7 Solid Innings & 0 For 1 With A BB
RBI Singed With 2 Outs & The Bags Full For The 9th-Frame Win
(0-2 Count) During His 1 For 2 With 3 BB Day The Kangaroo CourthouseCole HamelsAllowed An RBI Single To The Opposing SP In The 2nd
Gave Up A 2nd Single To The SP In The 5th The Fun House Of MirrorsCole Hamels

Visiting CDefected The Ball Into The Air Before Getting The Out
At 1st In The 5th
Permitted A Ball Through The 5 Hole, Which Created Chaos
On The Base Paths With The Carom Back To The C In The 8th
(Both Runners Moved Up)
Had 4 Passed Balls In The Game With 2 During The 9th The Leather WarehouseRyan HowardHeld On To The Wide Throw At 1st After Colliding
With The Runner In The 6th

 

 

 

CAP-SIZE HINDSIGHT:    7-4 Triumph In Game 2

TYPEPLAYERREASON The Crystal Champagne ToastTy WiggintonFour-Star Performance
The PenthouseMichael Martinez
Ryan Howard

Ty Wigginton

PH Chooch Ruiz


Kevin FrandsenAn RBI Single For A 1-0 Lead In The 2nd
A 2-Out 2-Run Single On A 1-2 Count
To Pull Within 1 In The 5th
A Solo HR To Tie It Up At 4 In The 6th
During His 2 For 4 Evening
A Single After A Long Stint On The DL,
Moving Mini Mart To 3rd In The 6th
An RBI Single For A 6-4 Game In The 7th
During His 2 For 2 Night
An RBI Swinging-Bunt Single For A 5-4 Score In The 6th The Kangaroo CourthouseMichael MartinezBlew The 3rd Out At 3rd, Which Led To 4
Runs Against In The 3rd House Of CardsThe OffenseDeuces Were Wild In The 5th, 6th & 7th Innings The WhitehouseB.J. Rosenberg1st MLB Win

 

 

Chase Scores In The 3rd Inning Of Game 1

 

 

NITECAP INSIGHT

 

 

 

 

The New Math:

 

There are other determining factors that are overlooked, while the dog-eared thinking for serious October baseball remains intact. The wild-card era has altered the dynamic, but the mentality hasn’t changed since there were two 8-team leagues. Back then there were fewer organizations in the mix, but now with a 5th qualifying berth, the quantity of collapses required per campaign has not increased. It only gives that impression erroneously. The chart below indicates a hypothetical outcome where clubs basically play .500 ball during their next 3 series. I took into consideration all 2, 3 and 4 game matchups during that period, where one of the mentioned squads plays another. That means these are realistic possibilities.

Ryno Holds Onto The Throw During The 6th Inning Of Game 1

There are differences with one or two extra playoff positions, canceling out some old benchmarks. Additional franchises equal more head-on competition among the hopefuls, which dramatically increases the odds for the .500 mark. This is why there have been more collapses and surprising comebacks during the last 5 years–not just 1 every 10-20 seasons. That stated, the red pinstripes have 10 total battles against the Fish, the ‘Stros and the Mets. So, the formula switches to the hot contender among the group in the next 9-10 contests. The thinking is that only one might catch fire besides the Phils with their favorable schedule.

 

Projected Next 3 Series:

Games against:  CON = Contenders, BAL = Also-Rans, GB = Games Behind, and GMS = Games Remaining After

TEAMW - LCONBALW - LW - LGBGMS Cards75-654065 - 580-70-----12 Dodgers74-679005 - 479-711.012 Pirates72-673065 - 477-712.014 Phillies69-710108 - 277-733.012 Brewers69-716035 - 474-754.513 D-backs69-725034 - 473-766.513

 

 

Ryno Singles In 2 During The 5th Inning Of Game 2

In the past there were the postseason bound and the spoilers, but now there is a third classification, where the locals find themselves. The also-rans will play the in-it teams tougher than other fringe units, which means that Cholley’s boys have 10 games against competition that doesn’t see a foe worthy of an upset. Meanwhile, the hometown 9 performs at their peak level, like Atlanta. In other words, Miami will be more up for the Braves than the Phillies. Those organizations will also gauge their young talent more against perceived long shots. That’s why the next 10 battles are key before the final two weeks.

All the other contenders have flaws and are beatable. I will evaluate each tomorrow. For the red pinstripes, Chooch Ruiz in the 5 spot strengthens the lineup. Antonio Bastardo, reversing his fortunes, and Phillippe Aumont solidify the setup role. Jeremy Horst and Josh Lindblom would man the 7th, while the other 2 would be the best of the rest. Continued success in these areas would plug their biggest holes. Remember–as it is–they are 10-5 against the Reds, Nats and Giants in the 2nd half. That said, if they went 10-0, they would be 8 games over .500, making more than just a little noise.

 

Kyle Kendrick Loads Up His Pitch On September 4 In Cincinnati

 

 

PRECAP PITCH

 

 

 

Kyle Kendrick:

 

He has lasted 6.1 innings plus in 9 of 20 outings with 5 debacles.  Against the Fish at both parks (1 each), his line is:  2-0, a 1.46 ERA, 12.1 frames, 13 hits, 2 both-earned runs, 3 walks and 10 punch outs.

 

STARTERRECORDTMSTARTERRECORDDAY & TIME 1RHP Kyle Kendrick08-10, 3.96 ERAMarlinsLHP Wade LeBlanc2-03, 2.72 ERAMonday, Night 2RHP Doc Halladay09-07, 3.87 ERAMarlinsRHP Nathan Eovaldi3-04, 5.03 ERATuesday, Night 3LHP Cliff Lee04-07, 3.50 ERAMarlinsRHP Josh Johnson 8-11, 3.81 ERAWednesday, Late Day 1TBA-----@ 'StrosRHP Bud Norris5-12, 4.93 ERAThursday, Night 2LHP Cole Hamels14-06, 3.03 ERA@ 'StrosRHP Edgar Gonzalez2-0, 1.74 ERAFriday, Night

Wade LeBlanc Hurls His Dart In The 3rd At Home On September 4 Against The Brewers

 

 

 

Wade LeBlanc:

 

He is 1-2 with a 3.51 ERA as a starter.  He has worked 7 innings in 2 of 6 attempts with 1 clunker.

 

 

 

DELIVERY = PITCHER’S 2012DEFINITION OF SEASON Over The TopExcellent 3-Quarters SidearmGood SidearmAbove Average Short Arm Approximately Average SubmarineBelow Average

 

 

Starters’ photos, not described otherwise, are in the 1st inning.

 

Quality number of the pitcher:  1 – 5

Slot on his club:  1 – 5

Ranking is 1 to 5 & 15 for the less adventurous.

*** = Approximately equal to after plus-and-minus computation

* = As a starter

 

HURLERKyle KendrickWade LeBlanc NUMBERA FiveA Five CLUB SLOTFourFive FOR 2012 SidearmSidearm * '12 RANKING3rd of 5 Categories3rd of 5 Categories LAST STARTSliderChangeup LAST HIGH OR LOW7th of 15 Categories8th of 15 Categories

 

 

PITCHINNER - R- HPITCHINNER 1Gyroball9 (CG)0 - 0 - 310Screwball64 2Fastball9 (CG)0 - 011Knuckleball53 3Cutter9 (CG)312Forkball0 - 4.2Monstrosity 4Split Finger7213Eephus Pitch0 - 2.2Disaster 5Curveball7314*Palm BallEjected 6Sinker6.1315*Spit Ball**Ejected+ 7Slider62*Breaking BallInjured 8Changeup63*FoshRain Interrupted 9Slurve52*Knuckle CurvePitch Count ** = Suspended* = A 2nd Pitch Also

 

 

STATS




APOCALYPTIC
HORSEMEN



COLE HAMELS
COLE'S LINE: 7 INN, 5 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 1 BB, 8 K & 102 DARTS

 

 

ACEW - LERAINN+CONVCG SOBADINNHRERBBIBBSO Total27 - 203.436.151 of 72229495.2468198189962455 Halladay09 - 073.877.014 of 21005137.1131059059250109 Lee04 - 073.506.119 of 25002175.0182071068260168 Hamels14 - 063.046.218 of 26222183.1161068062452178

 

 

18TH RIDE OF THE HORSEMEN:

ACEW - LERAINN+CONVCG SOBADINNHRERBBIBBSO Total1 - 02.186.1+3 of 300020.221552020 Halladay1 - 01.237.1+1 of 100007.108221005 Lee0 - 02.846.1+1 of 100006.108110007 Hamels0 - 02.577.0+1 of 100007.005221008

 

 

MASKED SEPTEMBER NUMBERS:
GB 2nd WC: 6
2ND WC Pos: 4 Tied
Elimination No: 17

Take Our Poll

 

 

NOTE:  This poll will appear in every September article for you to check  the current results, if it is still worthwhile.

 

The Original Article:  Philadelphia Phillies storyline: Masked September

 

LINK-UP BELOW:

Tal’s Handy Caps on Facebook is for notification of posts and any holdups that may occur. It might be worth your while because there are delays of 2 hours on most feeds.

Check out my previous publications (A Twilight Zone) and the 104 storylines–so far–for 2012 on the Phillies page, where there is an excerpt photo.

Tal’s Handy Stats is daily coverage. I am alternating the 2012 ERA For The NL East and the 2012 ERA For The MLB 5. Thank you, to all who bookmarked my page.

TAL’S HANDY LINKS

 

TAL’S HANDY CAPS on Facebook 

Philadelphia Phillies storyline: Weird to bizarre?

Phillies

Tal Venada (Author Archives)

Philadelphia Phillies: 2012 ERA for the MLB 5 at game 138

Philadelphia Phillies: 2012 ERA for the NL East at game 137

 

This article first appeared on isportsweb.com and was syndicated with permission.

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