Originally written on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 2/2/13
Matt Moore is just 23 years old, yet he has over half-a-decade of dominance in professional baseball. From 2007-2011 Moore carved up the minor leagues, posting a 2.64 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 12.67 K/9, and 3.84 BB/9. The walks were a little on the high side, but that’s to be expected of a kid barely in his 20s with the strikeout ability Moore has displayed. In a brief 9.1 innings out of the Rays’ pen in 2011, Moore continued to dominate. Last year he transitioned to the starting rotation, and for the first time in his professional career, he couldn’t strike out a batter per inning. Gasp! If you take a closer look at Moore’s 2012 season, though, you’ll see all signs point toward him taking several big steps forward in 2013. Moore’s strikeout rate after the All-Star Break was a robust 9.15 K/9 compared to 8.67 before the break, and his walk rate in the second half was 3.59 BB/9, almost a full walk lower than his 4.52 first-half rate. While Moore will probably continue to struggle with control over the next year or two, which will adversely affect his WHIP, he’s trending in the right direction and is probably the best pitching prospect keeper in the game right now. At a Glance Strengths: ERA, K, K/9, QS Neutral: W, WHIP, L, BB Weaknesses: none Player Comparisons Best-case scenario: Gio Gonzalez (WAS) Likely scenario: Jeff Samardzija (CHC), Tim Lincecum (SF), Max Scherzer (DET) Worst-case scenario: Bud Norris (HOU) Matt Moore 2013 Fantasy Projection Moore will probably approach or exceed 200 innings, top 200 strikeouts, and hold batters to a very good OBA. Those things I am almost certain of, but what will ultimately decide how great Moore can be this year is his walk rate. If he can post a walk rate around 3.00 B/9, that should yield a WHIP of about 1.20. Anything under 3.00 should push him closer to the 1.12-1.17 range. I’m not sure he can really do much better than that. And if Moore can get his walk rate (and, subsequently, his WHIP), then he’ll probably be a borderline top-50 player in fantasy. In one-year re-draft league’s it’s risky to take a player based on potential alone, but in keeper leagues I would feel comfortable taking Moore as one of the top 15 pitchers. He’s going to be a stud sometime in the near future. I don’t think it’ll be 2013, but it could be 2014. His division is a serious concern, and I’d much rather he was in, say, the NL West, but the Yankees and Red Sox aren’t the offensive juggernauts they used to be, and while the Blue Jays and Orioles are on the rise, they’re not necessarily dominant teams (though Toronto’s offense has that potential). I think a nice best-case scenario for Moore looks something like 16 W, 3.30 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 230 K in 20 IP with a worst-case scenario of about 11 W, 3.90 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 180 K in 180 IP. Moore will rack up the strikeouts, so it just comes down to how much he can limit the walks. Tweet
GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

LeBron: You don’t have to win championship to be great team

‘Concussion’ director: No compromises made for NFL

Kevin Sumlin: Texas A&M players have 'chip on their shoulder'

WATCH: Elvis Andrus steals home against Padres

Seahawks went on Hawaiian vacation to ease SB tension

Robert Kraft: Deflategate 'most overblown story' in NFL

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Top 10 storylines for Week 1 of college football season

Jim Tressel once sent touching note to family of Michigan OL

Sony cut 'Concussion' scenes to avoid angering NFL

Ryan Clark: Trent Richardson is 'worst RB of all time'

Report: David Feherty won't be back at CBS Sports

Warren Moon: RG3 needs to start taking the blame

Harbaugh named starting QB but won't announce it

Ohio State downplays revenge talk ahead of Va. Tech rematch

WATCH: D-backs pitcher fails on quick pitch attempt

Ex-FSU WR Snoop Minnis trolls rival Florida in great way

Suspicous photo may lead to drug test for CC Sabathia

How the Houston Astros went from garbage to gold

Jack Eichel plans to move in with teammate Matt Moulson

Report: Bills GM 'went rogue’ in cutting Fred Jackson

Terrance Knighton irked by Redskins-Kardsashians comparison

Connor Cook on not being named Michigan State captain: 'It stinks'

Danny Amendola’s advice to those on roster bubble? ‘Control what you can’

Dallas Cowboys: Rookies to watch

Apple reportedly sought exclusive rights to new Bill Simmons podcast

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Top 10 storylines for Week 1 of college football season

Underdogs: Hopefuls that can shock in the World Cup

Manfred digs Shoeless Joe a deeper grave

Why Mike Trout ain't right

The Opening Drive: Jamal Anderson warns UM fans before heading to Salt Lake City

Best and worst MLB players in August

RG3 blames intern for liking Instagram post trashing owner

Four most surprising roster cuts from NFL teams

Raiders cut Trent Richardson

Caroline Wozniacki smoking cover of ‘Rhapsody’

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker