In both an injury-shortened 2011 season and a breakout 2012, Ike Davis has shown a lot of pop. What he hasn’t shown is the ability to hit for average. Or even the ability to consistently hit for any average.
In his three major league seasons, Davis has batted .264, .302, and .227. The .302 average came in a small, 36-game sample, and the .227 average came in his most recent season. Despite the serious shortcomings Davis had last year in the batting average department, I’d argue he’s more of a .270 hitter with a chance at a .280-.290 season.
Last year Davis increased his line drive rate to 21.1%, and even though his infield fly rate was higher than the league average at 11.8%, his batted ball profile suggests he should have posted a BABIP much higher than .246. Our xBABIP and xBA formulas confirms this, pegging Davis as exactly a .270 hitter last year on the strength of a .306 xBABIP.
At a Glance
Strengths: HR, RBI, OBP, SLG, OPS, BB
Neutral: R, BA