If it wasn’t for his pedestrian 10-10 record, a lot more people would be talking about Matt Garza right now. Wins aside, Garza posted career bests in all the categories that matter such as strikeouts (197), ERA (3.32), FIP (2.95), HR/9 (0.64) and GB% (46.3). The most telling stat is his FIP, which was over a run better than his previous career high in Tampa Bay (4.14). If that’s any indication of what type of pitcher Garza is going to be in the NL Central (let’s hope he stays there) then fantasy owners should be all in on him in 2012. Of course, the Cubs defense is one of the worst in the league, but new president Theo Epstein has turned over worse defenses in the past.
Best case scenario: David Price (TB)Similar players: Michael Pineda (NYY), Ubaldo Jimenez (CLE), Gio Gonzalez (WAS)Worst case scenario: Ryan Dempster (CHC)
Strikeouts, ground balls, division. In 2011, Garza saw a huge increase in swinging strikes (11.2 SwStr% from 7.4% in 2010) and a huge decrease in con...