Jean Segura has speed. A lot of speed. In 399 minor league games, he stole 139 bases and was caught just 38 times (78.5%). That works out to 52 steals per 150 games. OK, so I’m not going to go all Bill James on you and project a wild season on the base paths for Segura this year, but the potential is there. (In all fairness, Bill James projects Segura for just 35 steals, but he/his system has a history of being overly optimistic.)
Speed isn’t the only thing Segura has going for him, though. He also puts the bat on the ball. His 13.4% minor league strikeout rate is pretty darn good, and speedy batters who put the ball in play are always a threat to hit for a good average (and usually are safe bets not to flop in that department).
At a Glance
Neutral: R, BA, OBP
Weaknesses: HR, RBI, SLG, OPS
Best-case scenario: Jose Altuve (HOU)
Likely scenario: Andrelton Simmons (ATL), Alcides Escobar (KC), Cameron Maybin (SD)
Worst-case scenario: Dee Gordon (LAD)...