Coco Crisp is good at stealing bases and it’s not just because he’s fast; he’s a smart runner. For his career, Crisp has stolen bases with an 80% success rate. For reference, from 2000-2012 all MLB players stole bases at a 72..8% success rate. Unfortunately, the good news ends there.
First, Crisp has a lot of trouble staying healthy as he’s only averaged 115 games since 2004, but this year he might not have to worry about injuries cutting into his playing time. This offseason the Athletics added Chris Young to the outfield mix leaving them with five capable outfielders (Crisp, Young, Josh Reddick, Yoenis Cespedes and Seth Smith). It’s almost a guarantee that Reddick and Cespedes will be starting so that leaves one outfield spot and a DH for the remaining three.
While Crisp might not have a lot of certainty going into the 2013 season, with Young’s struggles against right-handed pitching and Smith’s struggles against left-handed pitching, I think Crisp gets enough play to get close to 500 plate appearances for the third straight year.
At a Glance
Strengths: SB, K
Neutral: R, BB, BA, OBP, OPS
Weaknesses: HR, RBI, SLG
Best-case scenario: Shane Victorino (BOS)
Likely scenario: Ben Revere (PHI), Denard Span (WAS), Norichika Aoki (MIL)
Worst-case scenario: Platoon player
Coco Crisp 2013 Fantasy Projection
We’ve talked about Crisp’s uncertain playing time for the upcoming season, but now let’s focus on his skills. He’s a high contact hitter (career 85.8% contact rate) with some average plate discipline (career 7.7 BB%). Someone with that profile paired with his speed should have a high BABIP, but Crisp has a career mark of .301 which is more league average than special.
Overall, Crisp won’t really help you in batting average despite his high contact rate, but his steals and runs are enough to place him in our top 150 much like the last three years.
Overall, Crisp is a two-category guy