Talk about a boring day on Baseball Professor — Neil Walker and Tim Hudson back-to-back? Sheesh. Thank God we had Jeff Samardzija on the docket for today. But while Hudson is as exciting to own as a ball-point pen, you always seem to find yourself thinking, “Jeez, I really wish I had a pen right now.”
So let’s spice things up:
Did you know that of all active pitchers with at least 100 career decisions, Hudson’s 197-104 record (.654) is fourth-best behind only Roy Halladay (199-100, .666), Jered Weaver (105-52, .662), and Justin Verlander (124-65, .656)?
Did you know that Hudson has won at least 16 games each of the last four times he’s started at least 28 games?
Did you know that Hudson’s only twice had an ERA higher than 3.62 in his 14-year career?
While fantasy good rankings and projections are in no way lifetime achievement awards, it’s hard to ignore the quietly awesome career that Hudson has had to this point. Injuries in 2008 and 2009 rubbed off a lot of the luster that Hudson had in fantasy owners’ eyes, and because he isn’t a strikeout pitcher people tend to leave him on the back burner, but ignore Hudson at your own risk.
As much as we say that the rate stats (ERA and WHIP) are highly variable in one-week, H2H leagues, having a 200-inning stabilizer in those categories can be very beneficial, and to that end Hudson provides a ton of value.
At a Glance
Strengths: W, L, IP, QS, ERA, WHIP
Weaknesses: K, K/9
Best-case scenario: a little worse than Johnny Cueto (CIN)
Likely scenario: Wade Miley (ARI), Jeremy Hellickson (TB), Jarrod Parker (OAK)
Worst-case scenario: Matt Harrison (TEX)
Tim Hudson 2013 Fantasy Projection
By virtue or his strengths residing in rate stats and not the counting stats, Hudson is a much better player in roto formats than he is in H2H. Now, George and I play almost exclusively H2H leagues, but Hudson is still one of our most coveted players.
You see, we feel extremely confident in our abilities to find free agent starting pitchers on a near-daily basis, which serves to greatly augment our counting stats. Because of that, we don’t really care as much about having one or two below-average strikeout starters on our staff; we’re going to make up the gap with shrewd daily adds. We love having Hudson’s reliable ERA and WHIP numbers over almost 200 innings to help counteract the occasional miscalculation we make on free agency. If this is how you play your H2H league, don’t worry about Hudson’s lack of Ks.