Originally written January 04, 2013 on Baseball Professor:
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Derek Holland has been backed by an elite offense for his entire career, which would explain his 39-29 career record (57.4 W%) despite a 4.71 ERA and 4.48 FIP. It will be interesting to see how the Rangers’ offense operates without Josh Hamilton in the middle of the order, but Holland should be someone you can count on him for double-digit wins almost every year. In 2012, he went 9-0 in starts where he allowed three or fewer runs. He also earned two wins in starts where he allowed seven and five runs against the Angels and Rays, respectively. Somewhere, Cliff Lee is jealous. However, none of this helped his home run problem as his 1.64 HR/9 last year was the main culprit of his ERA ballooning up to 4.67 (4.06 career ERA). Despite posting a solid 1.22 WHIP, which is his career-best by far, Holland regressed from his promising 2011 season and he only has the home runs to blame. He’s going into his fifth pro season and now has two horrible home run seasons (combined 1.66 HR/9) sandwich...
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