Originally posted on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 1/1/13
Mlb-oakland-seattle-april
If per-game production was all that mattered, then Brett Anderson would be sitting comfortably inside our top 100. But alas, innings totals and durability matter, and those are two areas where Anderson falls short. He made his 2012 debut on August 21 against the lowly Twins, and though he only managed 35 innings on the year, they were 35 impressive innings. Believe it or not, Anderson actually displayed some strikeout ability in the minors, but who knows if that will transition to the majors. What we do know is that Anderson has pitched 406 total innings for the Athletics during his four years with the team, which is about as many as most pitchers of his caliber toss in just two seasons. To us Anderson is entering year five, but to his arm it might just feel like year three, and that means a breakout could be on the way. At a Glance Strengths: ERA, WHIP, BB/9 or any rate stat Neutral: L, K/9 Weaknesses: W, K, QS, IP, or any counting stat (due to durability concerns) Player Comparisons Best-case scenario: Jordan Zimmermann (WAS) Likely scenario: Doug Fister (DET), Hiroki Kuroda (NYY), Clay Buchholz (BOS) Worst-case scenario: Injured or someone like Matt Harrison (TEX) Brett Anderson 2013 Fantasy Projection I hate projecting players to get hurt, but even 24 starts out of Anderson seems dicey to me. We went with 140 innings overall, but anything plus or minus 50 innings is a distinct possibility. Assuming that he does stay moderately healthy, you’re going to get a ground ball pitcher in a pitcher’s park (i.e. he might never let up a home run at home). I keep waiting for some of Anderson’s strikeout potential to manifest itself, but given his repertoire and style of pitching I don’t know if he’ll ever be more than league average. His inability to go deep into games will probably cost him some win chances here and there, and overall he won’t give you much in that category, but you have to love those ratios, man. Anderson will definitely deliver in ERA and WHIP when he takes the mound.
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