Projecting the 2009 Cubs: Kevin Samardzija

2009 PROJECTIONS Rich Harden | Carlos Zambrano | Ryan Dempster | Ted Lilly | Sean Marshall | Kevin Gregg | Aaron Heilman | Chad Gaudin | Carlos Marmol | Angel Guzman | Neal Cotts | Luis Vizcaino | Kevin Hart | Jeff Samardzija KEVIN HART STATS Fan Graphs | The Hardball Times | ESPN | Baseball Reference | Cubs.com | Baseball Prospectus JEFF SAMARDZIJA STATS Fan Graphs | The Hardball Times | ESPN | Baseball Reference | Cubs.com | Baseball Prospectus We've done 12 pitchers in the series so far and have 29 innings that need to be pitched yet. Kevin Hart and Jeff Samardzija seem to be the most likely candidates to see bullpen work in 2009 at this point. Kevin Hart IP H HR BB K ERA CAIRO 134 152 20 47 98 5.75 MARCELS 40 42 4 18 33 4.61 ZiPS 119 127 18 50 81 5.29 CHONE 70 67 7 31 69 4.11 PECOTA 96 105 14 43 72 5.38 AVERAGE 104.2 113 15 42 78 5.20 IP_Relief ERA W/L Win% WAR_Relief WAR $WAR Actual Diff. Hart 14.5 5.20 0.72 0.42 -0.06 -0.06 $0.09 $0.10 -$0.01 Jeff Samardzija IP H HR BB K ERA CAIRO 116 130 17 48 70 6.41 MARCELS 39 37 3 16 32 3.81 ZiPS 133 148 20 64 68 5.48 CHONE 62 64 7 33 50 4.65 PECOTA 123.1 146 19 68 80 6.29 AVERAGE 109.1 123 16 53 66 5.67 IP_Relief ERA W/L Win% WAR_Relief WAR $WAR Actual Diff. Samardzija 14.5 5.67 0.61 0.38 -0.13 -0.13 -$0.23 $1.30 -$1.53 +/- $WAR: $50.41 million We'll begin the position players tomorrow with Geovany Soto. Running total for team projected wins (updated as I do each profile) Replacement level team: 48.6 wins Kevin Gregg: 1.08 WAR Rich Harden: 5.75 WAR Carlos Zambrano: 3.65 WAR Ryan Dempster: 3.42 WAR Ted Lilly: 2.92 WAR Sean Marshall: 1.84 WAR Aaron Heilman: 0.61 WAR Chad Gaudin: 0.52 WAR Carlos Marmol: 1.41 WAR Angel Guzman: 0.11 WAR Neal Cotts: 0.31 WAR Luis Vizcaino: 0.42 WAR Kevin Hart: -0.06 WAR Jeff Samardzija: -0.13 WAR TOTAL: 70.18 wins