Found May 26, 2012 on hardballchat.com:
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The Minnesota Twins are not looking likely to compete for a postseason berth this season, despite the fact that MLB has added two additional playoff spots into the fray, meaning they may become highly motivated to shred some payroll as the season progresses. The one player who could net them the most in return may also just be the riskiest player for other teams to acquire.

Twins 1B Justin Morneau is capable of putting up MVP numbers. We have seen him done it before. And while he still shows flashes of brilliance, he has become extremely injury prone due to a concussion and neck problem suffered in the past. That means that while he is still extremely talented, he comes with quite a risk involved.

Since returning from more lingering symptoms, Morneau has hit the ball well, going 10-for-35 since his May 16 return. He also has four home runs, including two in a game on Thursday against the Chicago White Sox. He now has eight home runs and is batting .248 through 29 games this season. Considering his many trips to the disabled list, as well as his $14 million price tag this season as well as another guaranteed $14 million in 2013, trading for Morneau may just not be worth the risk.

Especially when you also consider that the Twins are likely to ask for a costly package of prospects in return. Is it worth giving up that much for a player who could possibly spend more time in the infirmary than in the lineup?

Still, if Morneau can demonstrate an ability to remain on the field while producing decent enough numbers, expect a handful of teams to possibly make a run at the Twins 1B before the trade deadline. Teams such as the Milwaukee Brewers, Cleveland Indians, Toronto Blue Jays, Los Angeles Dodgers, Baltimore Orioles and Miami Marlins could all be considered possibilities.

They just better weigh the risks along with the rewards before making such a blockbuster move.

 

Kelley writes for The Pigskin Report as well as Hardball Chat. You can follow him on Twitter @RobKelley24 and Like The Rob Kelley Sports Network on Facebook. Kelley is a former sports reporter for various newspapers throughout the state of Florida, and had his first book published I'm Not a Quitter after moving back to Massachusetts.

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