Found September 06, 2009 on
MVN Jaguars:
Continuing today, The American Sports Blog will preview the 2009 NFL season. Going division-by-division, we'll look at each team and predict a winner for each division. At the conclusion, we'll predict the Super Bowl matchup and champion. Today, we look at the AFC West:One of the toughest
divisions in the NFL, the AFC South features two teams that made the playoffs last season.
The Indianapolis Colts were knocked out in the Wild Card game, while the
Tennessee Titans lost in the Divisional round. The Titans surprised everyone by
winning the division over the Colts, but they clearly earned that right, as
they finished the season with the best record in the NFL. In 2009, this
division figures to be as competitive as ever, with the Houston Texans also in
the discussion. Tennessee Titans (13-3): Last season, the
Titans won the majority of their games because of their defense. The unit
ranked as one of the best in football, with defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth
leading the way. Offensively, it was a running game that led the way for the
Titans. Tennessee has made improvements during the offseason, and should once
again be a top team in not only the AFC, but the entire NFL.
Haynesworth had a Pro
Bowl year and was a force on the line, which helped out the entire defense. The
pressure Haynesworth got on opposing quarterbacks -- he had 8.5 sacks last year
-- made things much easier for a secondary that featured multiple Pro Bowlers.
Michael Griffin led the team in interceptions with seven, followed by Cortland
Finnegan with five. The only noticeable member of the secondary gone is
cornerback Chris Carr, who went to Baltimore. What Tennessee will have to do is replace Haynesworth, who signed in free
agency by the Washington Redskins. The Titans will likely use a rotation
featuring Jason Jones, Jovan Haye and others. Replacing Haynesworth will be
extremely difficult, but coach Jeff Fisher has exuded confidence in his
defensive tackles.
While Tennessee's offense wasn't great, it was solid enough to reach the playoffs.
Kerry Collins stepped in against Jacksonville in Week 1, and was impressive throughout the season. No one had
expected Collins to play, since Vince Young was the starter, but once Young
went out of the Jacksonville game for multiple reasons, Collins had no trouble making fans
forget about Young. Collins threw for 2,676 yards and 12 touchdowns. Though
those are hardly staggering numbers, they were good enough for a team that
featured a great running game. Chris Johnson and LenDale White combined for 26
touchdowns and just over 2,000 yards. Johnson, who was just a rookie, should be
even better this season; as should White, who is on a contract year.
Tennessee has a great chance to
once again fight for the best record in the league. Though the loss of Haynesworth
is huge, the defensive tackles that Fisher has tabbed to fill in are solid.
Jones came on late last year when Haynesworth was injured and played well.
Moreover, the Titans have an offense that should be even better than last
season, which will in turn make the team better overall.
Indianapolis Colts (12-4): Everything looks and feels different in
Indy these days. Coach Tony Dungy retired, and Jim Caldwell is now the man in
charge. Caldwell was hand-picked by
Dungy to be his successor, and time will tell how much Caldwell learned from Dungy.
Also gone is wide receiver Marvin Harrison, who was always Peyton Manning's
favorite target. It's certainly a transition period in Indy, but the Colts are
still a force to be reckoned with.
Manning is the steadying force for a franchise
that has seen some turnover in the offseason. Offensive coordinator Tom Moore
and line coach Howard Mudd both retired, but have decided to return to
basically their old positions. There was much concern that the Colts would struggle
with those two gone, and Indy is lucky to have them back for this season.
Wide receiver Anthony Gonzalez is Harrison's replacement, and he
will be counted on to produce early and often. Gonzalez was the team's
third-leading receiver last year with 664 yards, but his numbers will need to
improve dramatically this year. Manning and Harrison had a special
connection and were a great quarterback-wide receiver tandem. While expecting
that out of Gonzalez is unfair, he will need to have a 1,000 yard season with Harrison no longer in the
fold. Where Indy can really improve is the running game, which was one of the
worst in football last year. Joseph Addai is constantly injured, which is why
the team drafted Donald Brown in the first round. Brown should improve the
Colts running game and make things easier on Manning, last year's MVP.
Indy's defense was very good last season, but
not great. What can make the unit great this year is a healthy Bob Sanders, who
played in just six games last season. When healthy, Sanders is arguably the
best safety in the NFL. The problem is that the 5-8, 206 pound Sanders has
trouble avoiding injuries, and the Colts defense takes a noticeable dip when he
isn't playing.
With an explosive offense and good defense,
the Colts will be in the playoff hunt as usual.
Houston Texans (8-8): Each of the last two seasons, the
Texans have finished 8-8. The Texans had a great offense last year, but didn't
have the kind of defense that can take a team to the postseason. The defense
will need to greatly improve if the Texans want to make a playoff run in
2009.
When discussing the league's best offenses, Houston has to be in the
converstation. Last season, they were the third best offense in the league, and
have a number of weapons to work with. For starters, Andre Johnson is, in my
mind, the best receiver in the NFL. Johnson has the ability to beat defenders
in multiple ways, and his size (6-3, 225) is tough to deal with. What has
destroyed the Texans chances over the last two season, however, has been the
health of quarterback Matt Schaub. Schaub has missed a total of 10 games since
2007, and that isn't what will get the Texans to the playoffs. Schaub is an
excellent quarterback when he is healthy, but he just hasn't had the ability to
avoid injuries since coming to Houston. If the Texans are
going to make a run, though, Schaub must stay healthy all season long.
Also necessary if the Texans want to make a
run is strong play from the defense. Mario Williams has developed into a solid
defensive end, but the play around him needs to improve. Bringing in defensive
end Antonio Smith from the Arizona Cardinals was a smart move, because that
could divert some attention away from Williams. The addition of linebacker
Brian Cushing will also help the team, as he has the potential to be a solid
player. And now that cornerback Dunta Robinson is with the team again, the
Texans appear that have a group that will be much better than they were last
year.
In the short history of the franchise, the
Texans have never made the playoffs. Of all the teams they have had, this one
looks to have the greatest chance of playing into January. Houston has an offense that
will be extremely tough for opposing defenses to stop. Not only is Johnson a
weapon, tight end Owen Daniels and running back Steve Slaton are also
dangerous.
Look for the Texans to compete for a playoff
spot in 2009.
Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11): Last season was an utter disappointment
for the Jaguars. Coming off an incredible playoff run two seasons ago, much was
expected. They returned much of their team that went to the playoffs, and
anything less than a return trip to the playoffs was not going to be accepted.
But from the opening kick, it seemed, nothing went right for the Jaguars in
2008.
Quarterback David Garrard played
nearly-flawless football two years ago, throwing 18 touchdowns compared to just
three interceptions. It was that steady played that led the Jaguars to give him
a six-year contract extension worth over $60 million. Garrard didn't live up to
that contract last season, though, as he struggled from the get-go. It wasn't
all his fault, thanks to a poor offensive line that dealt with injuries all
season long. Garrard didn't have the protection he needed to throw the
football, and he also didn't have a serviceable receiving corps. Jerry Porter
turned out to be a free agent bust, and Reggie Williams struggled all year
long. Because of those struggles, the Jaguars spent much of the offseason
trying to improve the offense. In the draft, two offensive tackles (Eugene
Monroe and Eben Britton) were selected to make the offensive line better. They
also drafted wide receiver Mike Thomas, who put up great numbers in college.
Maurice Jones-Drew is one of the best running backs in the league, but he can't
single-handedly carry the offense.
The 2008 season was also a mess for the
Jaguars defense. They gave up an average of 22.8 points per game last year,
which was in the bottom half of the league. Stopping the pass was by far the
Jags biggest issue, as they gave up nearly 225 yards per game. In a division
that has explosive offenses, the Jags need to have a good defense in order to
compete. Unfortunately for Jaguars fans, the unit still doesn't appear good
enough to go up against the likes of the Texans and Colts offenses.
With another bad season, coach Jack Del Rio
could be fired by owner Wayne Weaver. The fans support in Jacksonville has been terrible,
and a good season will be necessary to bring fans back to the stadium. Last
week, NFL commissioner Roger Goodell said that the Jaguars are among 12 teams
facing local television blackouts in 2009. It has since been reported that all
eight home games are likely to not be sold out, meaning local fans will not see
one game on T.V. this year. The only way for that to change will be to win
football games, which will be a tough proposition for the Jaguars in
2009.
Division winner: Tennessee. The Titans were a
great team last season and have revenge on their minds after losing to the
Ravens in the playoffs. Indy will be tough to beat, but the Titans are more
than capable of doing it.
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