I'm really not feeling all of this hoopla over Matt Stafford or Mark Sanchez right now, and if you ask me I wouldn't take either one. Especially not for $30 million-plus guaranteed. You see, there's two kinds of draft hype:
1) On the field hype, where the draft gurus/GMs/etc get amped over what guys actually did on the field and the physical traits they displayed there (accuracy, explosiveness, hands, etc.).
2) Draft season hype, where people get all worked up over 40 times, interviews, wonderlic scores, and the like, but don't have any on field basis for their sudden increase or decrease in enthusiasm for certain players.
Now from my experience paying attention to all this stuff, the first brand of hype is usually more reliable than the second. The first brand is what gave us Peyton Manning, Donovan McNabb, LaDanian Tomlinson, Dwight Freeney, and many others. The second leads you to Matt Jones, Mike Mamula, Ryan Leaf, and Kyle Boller. Now of course you get exceptions to each rule every year but I just don't think you should increase a guy's grade because he ran a good 40 or exuded confidence in an interview if his game film suggests he's not all that. At the same time, downgrading a guy who clearly showed and proved on the field because he ran a bad 40 or hada bad interview isn't a good idea either. What's really crazy, if you remember, is that a lot of people were honestly believing at one point that Leaf was a better choice than Manning. Despite years of game film and his pedigree a lot of people fell for one year of Leaf highlights and his superior arm strength and would have made him their choice if they were picking first.
Written By Robert Bonnette
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