The Miami Dolphins have created some flexibility in this week’s draft, by making moves earlier this offseason, addressing holes that needed to be filled. The Dolphins currently hold 11 picks in the upcoming draft, but that could change before…or even during the draft. With sources indicating that the Dolphins are currently negotiating a new contract with Branden Albert, the Dolphins might have 1 less draft pick by the time the draft actually starts. My belief, is that the Dolphins will end up making a few trades, moving up or down, depending on who is on the board and who they are targeting.
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So that brings us to the question about the cost of moving around in the draft. How much should each draft pick be worth? How much would it cost the Dolphins to move up in the first round to draft a left tackle, if the Branden Albert deal doesn’t go through? We’ll look at a few scenarios to give you an idea of just how costly it might be. We’ll also look at a few trade down scenarios, as the Dolphins might like a player at 12, but if they can get him at #22, why not trade down?
Most likely, if the Dolphins are going to trade up into the top 10, it will probably be for one of the drafts elite left tackle prospects (Joeckel, Fisher, or Johnson). They also could look to move up to draft Dee Millner, to solidify the CB position. So what would it cost to trade up? Well, the Dolphins pick at #12 is valued at 1,200 points, using the theoretical draft value chart that can be found here.
To move up to, say the #6 position (with the Browns), the Dolphins would likely have to give up the #54 pick overall, the second of their 2nd round picks. But, if the Dolphins wanted to move all the way up to #4 (with the Eagles), it would likely cost them both of their 2nd round picks. See what a big different a few draft slots can mean in the top 10? The point is that it can be very costly to move up from where the Dolphins are.
Now, if the Dolphins wanted to move up to, say #9 (with the Jets), it would likely cost them one of their 3rd round picks. But that would only mean moving up 3 spots. I could only see this happening if one of the big 3 tackles makes it out of the top 8. With Tennessee and the Chargers both in between the Jets and Dolphins picks…and both needing offensive line help…the Dolphins might pull the trigger on this type of trade IF an offensive linemen they want is available. (CLICK HERE, continued on page 2)