Originally posted on The Football Fan Spot  |  Last updated 12/9/12
Atlanta Falcons (11-1) at Carolina Panthers (3-9) I really like using trends to pick NFL games. Not all games have the same weight on a team’s schedule and games don’t always mean the same thing for the teams playing it. This is why upsets happen. However, there aren’t any really good ones in play here, except this. Teams are 49-37 ATS as home favorites after a loss as road favorites since 1989, including 14-8 ATS as divisional home dogs when the previous game was non-divisional. That applies to the Panthers, who have gone from road favorites to home dogs in just one week because of one loss, which really didn’t have much to do with them, as the Chiefs were galvanized by the Jovan Belcher situation. However, that really assumes the Panthers don’t deserve to be home dogs here, which they do. In fact, we may be getting line value with the Falcons, who are rested. Teams are 118-100 ATS on a Sunday following a Thursday game. The Falcons rank 4th in net points per drive at 0.64, while th...
GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Brent Musburger defends praising Katherine Webb for being ‘beautiful’

Saints' Cam Jordan: We believe we can win Super Bowl ‘now’

Report: Pacers turned down Cavs’ trade proposal for George, could revisit

DA fighting to have Hernandez murder conviction reinstated

Report: Cavs, Pacers talking three-team George trade

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

In appreciation of Ichiro, the oldest man to play center field since at least 1900

WATCH: Adam Rosales sprints to fastest home run trot record

Report: Pacers not interested in acquiring Kevin Love

Vikings say they encouraged Floyd to drink kombucha tea

Report: Jason Williams injured in first BIG3 game

Report: Mavs leaning toward two-year deal for Nowitzki

Getaway Day: Welcome back to the world, AL Central

Best of Yardbarker: Diana Taurasi makes history

The 'Finest running back from America’s Finest City' quiz

Players who need to turn around their season to save their teams

Sports & Politics Intersect: Washington gets a rare win

Three Up, Three Down: Flouting the written and unwritten rules of baseball

2016-17 NBA Awards: The Billy King Award for worst trade

Kicking it: David Villa isn't interested in a 'retirement tour'

Box Score 6/23: Philly continues to trust the process

The 10 best sports docs available for streaming

Feeding your roundball addiction through the summer months

The 'NBA Draft going back to school?' quiz

NFL News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Getaway Day: Welcome back to the world, AL Central

Best of Yardbarker: Diana Taurasi makes history

The 'Finest running back from America’s Finest City' quiz

2016-17 NBA Awards: The Billy King Award for worst trade

Players who need to turn around their season to save their teams

Three Up, Three Down: Flouting the written and unwritten rules of baseball

Sports & Politics Intersect: Washington gets a rare win

Kicking it: David Villa isn't interested in a 'retirement tour'

The 10 best sports docs available for streaming

Feeding your roundball addiction through the summer months

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker