Originally written on This Given Sunday  |  Last updated 11/20/14

From the very start of his exceptional career, Adrian Peterson has been compared to Hall of Fame running back Eric Dickerson. And now, as Peterson is shocking the football world with his best season yet less than a year after blowing out his knee, AP is setting his sights on Dickerson's most celebrated record.  Rather than focusing on becoming the seventh running back in NFL history to hit 2,000 yards (AP2K?), Peterson has said this week that he's targeting Dickerson's single-season rushing yards record of 2,105.  Let's break it down, first looking at what Peterson has to do to become the second-oldest back in NFL history to hit the 2,000-yard mark. He currently has 1,600 yards on the dot. To hit 2,000, he'll have to average 133.4 yards per game over the final three weeks. Technically, he's only on pace for 1,969 yards with an average of 123.1 yards per game. But that's not a strong indicator of Peterson's chances, because he only hit the 100-yard mark once in his first six games but has done so seven weeks in a row since then.  During that seven-week span, AP has averaged 157.3 yards per outing, and he's surpassed that 133.4 mark on five of those seven occasions.  The bad news is that even that pace isn't good enough to get him to Dickerson's record of 2,105. That would, instead, only get him to 2,071, which would be the second-highest single-season total in football history.  To break the record, Peterson will have to average 168.7 yards over the next three games. Even in the last three games, he's been short of that average at 157.3, and he's never had more yards in one three-game stretch than this recent one. But that total of 472 falls short of the 506 he'd have to accumulate in order to become the new single-season record holder. So statistically, the odds favor Peterson hitting 2,000 but falling short of 2,105.  A look at his final three opponents:  Week 15: At St. Louis -- The Rams have done a good job in recent weeks against guys like Frank Gore, C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson. They rank 13th in the league in run defense but are tied for eighth in terms of yards allowed per rushing attempt. Week 16: At Houston -- Stevan Ridley, Shane Vereen and Joique Bell have recently had some success against a solid Houston defense, but the Texans shut down a fairly hot Chris Johnson in Week 13. They rank in the top 10 in terms of both rushing yards allowed per game and per carry. Week 17: Vs. Green Bay -- Peterson had an amazing 210-yard game against the Packers just two weeks ago, and this is a D that has also struggled lately with backs like Ahmad Bradshaw, Andre Brown, Mikel Leshoure and Bell. Green Bay ranks 15th in the league when it comes to rushing yards allowed per game, but they've surrendered a mediocre 4.5 yards per attempt.  Peterson could benefit greatly from the fact that all three of those games will be held indoors. The opposing defenses aren't easy, but I wouldn't rule anything out.

GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Who won the LeSean McCoy trade?

50 Cent bets $1.6M on Mayweather beating Pacquiao

Wizards apologize for odd Black History Month tribute

Report: McCoy may want more money from Bills

Andre Johnson laughed upon hearing he wouldn't start

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Brad Stevens: LeBron 'looks like the MVP to me'

Le'Veon Bell tees off on Mel Kiper Jr. over Twitter

Eagles ship LeSean McCoy to Bills for Kiko Alonso

Murray would reportedly give Cowboys hometown discount

Report: Giants ‘considering a run’ at Ndamukong Suh

Darnell Dockett reportedly visiting 49ers on Tuesday

Tim Lincecum’s last best chance

Ten most underrated players in the NBA

Columbus Zoo names newborn penguin after Ezekiel Elliott

Matt Barnes blasts NBA over James Harden suspension

Joe Rogan: Ronda Rousey could beat half the men

Bills tell C.J. Spiller he won't be re-signed

Ohio State self-reported funny NCAA violation

Lupul, Phaneuf, Cuthbert threaten lawsuit against TSN

Report: Adrian Peterson has trade list of five preferred teams

Murphy disagrees with Billy Bean’s homosexual 'lifestyle'

Trent Cole has ‘no respect’ for Eagles after release from team

Ronda Rousey lands free ticket to Pacquiao-Mayweather bout

NFL News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Tim Lincecum’s last best chance

Ten most underrated players in the NBA

Stevens: LeBron looks like the MVP

Spiller: EJ Manuel learned not to be 'buddy buddy' with everyone

Ten most underrated NFL free agents

Five potential landing spots for Andre Johnson

Texas-Baylor fight leads to 7 ejections

Mark Cuban will be Prez in 'Sharknado 3'

Report: Redskins interested in Suh

Report: Revis likely to hit free agency

Steve Spurrier joins Twitter

MJ makes Forbes billionaire list

Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
Help
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.