Originally written on This Given Sunday  |  Last updated 11/20/14

From the very start of his exceptional career, Adrian Peterson has been compared to Hall of Fame running back Eric Dickerson. And now, as Peterson is shocking the football world with his best season yet less than a year after blowing out his knee, AP is setting his sights on Dickerson's most celebrated record.  Rather than focusing on becoming the seventh running back in NFL history to hit 2,000 yards (AP2K?), Peterson has said this week that he's targeting Dickerson's single-season rushing yards record of 2,105.  Let's break it down, first looking at what Peterson has to do to become the second-oldest back in NFL history to hit the 2,000-yard mark. He currently has 1,600 yards on the dot. To hit 2,000, he'll have to average 133.4 yards per game over the final three weeks. Technically, he's only on pace for 1,969 yards with an average of 123.1 yards per game. But that's not a strong indicator of Peterson's chances, because he only hit the 100-yard mark once in his first six games but has done so seven weeks in a row since then.  During that seven-week span, AP has averaged 157.3 yards per outing, and he's surpassed that 133.4 mark on five of those seven occasions.  The bad news is that even that pace isn't good enough to get him to Dickerson's record of 2,105. That would, instead, only get him to 2,071, which would be the second-highest single-season total in football history.  To break the record, Peterson will have to average 168.7 yards over the next three games. Even in the last three games, he's been short of that average at 157.3, and he's never had more yards in one three-game stretch than this recent one. But that total of 472 falls short of the 506 he'd have to accumulate in order to become the new single-season record holder. So statistically, the odds favor Peterson hitting 2,000 but falling short of 2,105.  A look at his final three opponents:  Week 15: At St. Louis -- The Rams have done a good job in recent weeks against guys like Frank Gore, C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson. They rank 13th in the league in run defense but are tied for eighth in terms of yards allowed per rushing attempt. Week 16: At Houston -- Stevan Ridley, Shane Vereen and Joique Bell have recently had some success against a solid Houston defense, but the Texans shut down a fairly hot Chris Johnson in Week 13. They rank in the top 10 in terms of both rushing yards allowed per game and per carry. Week 17: Vs. Green Bay -- Peterson had an amazing 210-yard game against the Packers just two weeks ago, and this is a D that has also struggled lately with backs like Ahmad Bradshaw, Andre Brown, Mikel Leshoure and Bell. Green Bay ranks 15th in the league when it comes to rushing yards allowed per game, but they've surrendered a mediocre 4.5 yards per attempt.  Peterson could benefit greatly from the fact that all three of those games will be held indoors. The opposing defenses aren't easy, but I wouldn't rule anything out.

MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Police: Fire that burned down McClain's home 'suspicious'

Furniture store will refund purchases if OSU wins title

What each NFC team in the hunt should ask for from Santa

Is SI ashamed to mention Jameis Winston on its cover?

Kobe Bryant disappointed Lakers didn't get Rajon Rondo

Niners OT Anthony Davis takes shot at offensive coordinator

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Report: Josh Smith expected to sign with Rockets

Cullen Jenkins unhappy over his roughing the passer fine

Bochy: Peavy trade was best in-season move of 2014

Report: Anderson Varejao out for season with torn Achilles

Kevin Nash arrested after alleged fight with son

Report: Celtics, Cavs discussing three-team trade

Baseball cards: a fan's love for the ultimate stocking stuffer

Packers game is a career defining moment for Stafford

A look inside Jason Grilli's contract with the Braves

10 Week 17 NFL matchups that will impact the playoffs

WATCH: Bahamas Bowl ends on insane Hail Mary play

Mike Yeo slams Wild for not having 'winner's attitude'

Michigan St. QB, Ohio State TE have awkward Twitter exchange

Will FIFA ever care to change?

Top storyline for each NFL Week 17 game

The 40 greatest Christmas-related names in sports

NBA teams rooting for others to win

WATCH: Vlade drains half-court shot, wins $90K for charity

NFL News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.

Police: McClain fire 'suspicious'

10 Week 17 NFL matchups that will impact the playoffs

Bahamas Bowl ends on crazy Hail Mary

49ers OT Davis takes shot at coordinator

Will FIFA ever care to change?

Top storyline for each Week 17 game

40 great Christmas-related sports names

Nick Mangold and dealing with feelings as a sports fan

Ibaka, Aldridge ejected for scuffle

Baseball cards: a fan's love for the ultimate stocking stuffer

Nick Young on Kobe-less win: He needs to pass

NFC playoff picture, Week 17: Division showdowns

Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
Help
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.