Originally posted on Football Nation  |  Last updated 10/6/12

Both the Packers and Colts have had ups and downs in this young season. 

The combined record of these two teams is 3-4, meaning both clubs are in dire need of a victory. 

Week 2 saw both clubs bringing home good wins, when the Packers defeated the Bears 23-10 at Lambeau, while the Colts were victorious over the Vikings 23-20 in Indianapolis.  

Since then, very little has been seen by either ball club, and this could be a deciding week for either one of these teams. 

Will the Colts play inspired after learning their coach, Chuck Pagano, will be fighting leukemia, or will the Packers reassert their dominance?

1.) Cedric Benson will get 20 attempts and 100 yards

Lately Benson's workload has been consistent and I believe the Packers will attempt to control time of possession by running the ball. Cedric has yet to crack the 100-yard barrier in a game this season, but with a sub-par passing game, coupled with a Colts' defense that has yielded 131 yards a game on the ground, Benson will come through with a century.

Here's an interesting stat. Of the Packers 92 first down plays, only 19 of them have been a run. The only teams with fewer runs on first down, and a winning record are the undefeated Atlanta Falcons and the Arizona Cardinals.  

There are eight other teams with fewer rushing attempts on first down and they all have losing records (Cowboys~2-2, Saints, Raiders, Browns, Steelers, Titans, Jets, and the Colts). Balance appears to be key.

2.) This game will be close and will come down to a late turnover that decides the victor

The inability to create turnovers has been the demise of the 2012 Colts. After three games this year, the Colts have one interception and 1 fumble recovery. They have turned the ball over six times on offense. You do the math and this equates to a minus 4 turnover ratio. 

I believe Andrew Luck will throw the ball effectively against the Green Bay pass defense, but the Packers will lurk and wait for that one poor decision to be made and capitalize on it. All of Green Bay's four forced turnovers have been interceptions, and my guess is that this group will generate two picks against Luck.  

The difference will be pressuring the quarterback. Green Bay's defense has sacked opposing quarterback's 14 times, wheres the Colts have just seven sacks. Now, the Packers' offensive line has been porous this season, so this game will be a good test for them. If the Colts are able to bring Rodgers down, it will be a bad sign for the Green and Gold.

3.) Stay away from Tramon Williams, Mr. Luck!

Tramon is off to a great start in the 2012 football season. With 18 tackles, two picks, and a team high five pass deflections, he's not the man to target. He will record five tackles and corral one interception against a young Colts team, that could prove to be the difference.

Prediction: Green Bay 24, Indianapolis 20

 



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