Originally written on Buffalo Wins  |  Last updated 11/4/14
As the NFL Draft quickly approaches, we scour the Internet for as many mock drafts as we can find. We like one, hate another, and hope another would never happen, but what are they all about? Is there any value in mock drafts other than pure entertainment? What about the actual drafts, what are the biggest “reach” and “value” picks? Do those labels (and the ratings they’re based on) even matter? Mel Kiper, Jr. and Don Banks have become two of the industry experts when it comes to mock drafts. Their final first round mock drafts have included 81% of the players actually chosen in the first rounds since 2009. However, they have only gotten 17% of the exact picks correct in that period of time. The experts, as well as the thousands of aspiring draftniks, know who should be selected in the first round but they don’t always know where they’ll go. Accuracy at the top of the draft is very high, but the precision quickly drops off due to unexpected decisions and trades. The table ...
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