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NFL Week 13 bets: Three touchdown scorer props for Sunday
San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel (19). Bob Self/Florida Times-Union / USA TODAY NETWORK

NFL Week 13 bets: Three touchdown scorer props for Sunday

It's been quite a while since we published a TD target article that didn't flag at least one scorer, and we'd like to build on that ahead of Week 13 in the NFL. We've got our eye on three targets for Sunday, all at varying prices. Good luck!

Deebo Samuel (+180 FanDuel)

It's always a wise idea to load up a wide receiver who faces the Philadelphia Eagles. No team is letting up more touchdowns per game to WRs than the Eagles at 1.55 per game. Philly is also allowing the most receptions per game to wideouts, which makes both Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk look appealing this weekend.

We prefer Samuel, who has seen 17 targets in the past three games to Aiyuk's 13, and despite more missed games, Samuel has 15 red zone looks on the season compared to Aiyuk seeing just five such targets.

Samuel has a touchdown in two of his last three games.

Curtis Samuel (+380 FanDuel)

The Washington offense is sure to be throwing plenty in this one. For starters, the 9.5-point spread certainly suggests a lopsided affair coming.

Then there's tendencies. Washington throws the ball more often than anyone else, and Miami sees the eighth-highest rate of passes against them. The Dolphins have been vulnerable to big games from WRs, allowing the third-most receptions/game to the position and the sixth-most touchdowns/game to the position.

We like the value on Curtis Samuel. He has more red zone looks (12) than Terry McLaurin (7) or Jahan Dotson (8), and he has three touchdowns on the year. 

Fresh off a 12-target, 100-yard game, Samuel could be set to keep it rolling here.

Derrick Henry (+110 Caesars)

The Colts are allowing the fifth-most touchdowns per game to RBs and the eighth-most rushing yards per game to the position.

That should benefit Henry here, who just scored twice last weekend. Henry now has six touchdowns on the year, and while we tend to like a better price, we'll sign up for plus-money for a RB1 in a plus-matchup every day.


Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use. 



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