Found January 05, 2013 on
The Pass Rush:
In Week 17, our picks went 10-6 ATS and yours truly (131-120 ATS for the season) is ready to move into lead against the pick ‘em league leader Beantown Brawlers (133-118 ATS). I’m currently in 2nd in the pick ‘em league, 2 games behind the leader, with 11 games to play. Hopefully, you were able to build up your bank roll with some of Brandon’s Bowl Picks. Oregon and Texas A&M were two easy winners as well in the last two days. Here is what we have on tap for NFL Wildcard Saturday.
HOUSTON TEXANS (-4) over Cincinnati Bengals
I like the Texans here. The public is split here 50/50. The line moved from Texans (-4.5) to Texans (-4).
I don’t have a whole lot of conviction with the Texans since the Texans December performance has been poor, but keep in mind that they already locked up a playoff spot by that time and likely just slacked off the month of December. A lot of players on their team were pretty banged up so I’m sure that their players who were nursing injuries were only playing at a 75% level. Houston finished the season 1-3 SU and ATS.
The Bengals have been on fire lately with a 7-1 record SU and ATS in their last 8. Remember that these teams faced each other in the playoffs last year and the Texans wiped the floor with them winning 31-10. Houston was a 4-point favorite in that game as well. Andy Dalton thew 3 INTs and 0 TDs. A.J. Green was targeted 12 times and had just 5 catches for 47 yards. The Bengals were held to a mere 76 rushing yards a well. T.J. Yates was also the QB for the Texans during that game.
I expect the Texans to get their act together and pull off another big win, but the margin will definitely be tighter this time around. I’m not as confident as I would be if the Texans were currently playing the way they were in the beginning of the season, but this is the Texans game to win, and I think you’ll see a 100% effort from them. The Texans are a much different team at home vs. on the road. I think the fact that the Texans have an answer for A.J. Green is why you see them win this game. They shut him down last time. The fact that Andy Dalton forces the ball to him only makes matters worse as Dalton was picked thrice in his last playoff game against the Texans.
PICK: Texans -4 (Confidence: 7/10)
PREDICTION: TEXANS 24 – BENGALS 17
Minnesota Vikings (+9.5) over GREEN BAY PACKERS
I like taking the points here, it’s just too many to pass up. 63% of the public is also taking the points. I was expecting this line to be Packers (-6.5). This is a division game, so it’s likely going to be close. I don’t want to put too much emphasis on last week either when the Vikings beat the Packers 37-34. It’s a completely different game when it’s played in Minnesota vs. Green Bay. When these teams met in Green Bay, the Packers won 23-14. Adrian Peterson rushed for 210 yards in that game, but the Vikings fell short based on a poor performance from Christian Ponder (12/25, 119 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT). Ponder played like a stud last week against Green Bay (16/28, 234 yards, 3 TDs, and 0 INT) and A.P. did his thing with 199 yards on the ground.
The question in this game will be which Christian Ponder shows up? Is it the Christian Ponder that spreads the ball around, moves the chains, protects the ball, let’s A.P. grind out the tough yards, and sets up scoring opportunities. Or will it be the Christian Ponder that we’ve known as a rookie who forces throws and turns the football over. Ponder has been better since that last Green Bay game back in week 13. He’s thrown 4 TDs and just 1 INT, which was against the Bears. He’s faced Bears, Rams, Texans, and Packers in the last four weeks, is 4-0 SU and ATS and has an average QB rating of 85 in that stretch. I also like the way that Vikings defense played against the Packers in both games.
Aaron Rodgers can put a smacking on any team and is certainly capable of winning this game by 10+ points. In the last three weeks, Rodgers has thrown 10 TDs, 0 INTs, and has a 100+ QB rating in all three games. The guy’s on fire right now. I would much rather tease this spread down to Packers (-2.5) to pair with the over 39 points than take the Vikings (+9.5). I feel that a Packers victory in the area of touchdown is what’s in store for this game.
PICK: Vikings +9.5 (Confidence: 6/10)
TEASER PICK: Packers -2.5/Over 39 (Confidence: 8/10)
PREDICTION: PACKERS 31 – VIKINGS 23
BEST OF MAXIM
GREEN BAY, Wis. -- Adrian Peterson was the best player for the Minnesota Vikings all season. There is no debating that. But as great as the team's star running back was, he needed some help from quarterback Christian Ponder in order to get the Vikings into the playoffs.
Throughout most of the season, Peterson didn't get that help. In his second NFL season, Ponder mostly struggled...
The Minnesota Vikings have listed quarterback Christian
Ponder and cornerback Antoine Winfield as questionable to play today during the
team’s rematch against the Green Bay Packers, reports Josh Alper of Pro
Quarterback Christian Ponder and cornerback Antoine
Winfield have both been given the 50/50 designation by the team on Friday.
Ponder has been limited...
The Minnesota Vikings will be without starting quarterback
Christian Ponder for Saturday night's first-round playoff game at
GREEN BAY, Wisc. -- If Dom Capers has a scouting report on Joe Webb, he had to dust it off at the last minute. The Minnesota Vikings will be without starting quarterback Christian Ponder for Saturday night’s NFC wild-card game at Lambeau Field against the Vikings. Ponder, who was limited mostly to mental work at practice this week, tested his sore right (throwing) elbow during...
The Vikings task tonight recently got just a little bit more difficult. According to Al Michaels, reporting during a break in the early game between the Bengals and the Texans, indicated that Ponder tried out his arm before the game before the team declared him inactive. Joe will be the Vikings' starter.
The most glaring difference between Webb and Ponder is that Webb is...
The 2013 NFL Playoffs kick into swing on Saturday with the Cincinnati Bengals (10-6) at the Houston Texans (12-4) at 4:30 p.m., followed by the Minnesota Vikings (10-6) at the Green Bay Packers (11-5). Both games will be aired on NBC.
Then on Sunday, the Baltimore Ravens (10-6) will host the Indianapolis Colts (11-5) at 1:00 p.m. on CBS before the Seattle Seahawks (11-5) take on...
Green Bay Packers fans are rejoicing today, because Vikings starting QB Christian Ponder, better known as the husband of ESPN reporter Samantha Steele, well it’s Samantha Ponder now, is unavailable. Multiple sources say Joe Webb will start at quarterback. Yikes for Minnesota Vikings fans.
Ponder is bad enough himself, and the Vikes have no receivers. Now they’re stuck with Webb...
Green Bay lost the season finale in Minnesota to the Vikings on December 30th, splitting the season series against their division rival Vikings, with each team winning their home game.
The big question in this game is: can Vikings quarterback Christian Ponder do enough for the Vikings to win? The big names on offense for these two teams may be Adrian Peterson and Aaron Rodgers,...
The Packers prepped all week for the wrong quarterback – not that they knew. With Christian Ponder a late scratch, Joe Webb gave the Vikings little chance of leading an upset in the first round of the playoffs.
For analysis on Minnesota click here
For analysis on Green Bay click here
The Vikings beat the Packers just last week so they will definitely hang within 8 of the Packers this week right? Well, that seems to be what everything thinks as the public is all over the Vikings. However, as is frequently the case when the public likes a dog, I expect them to be wrong. The Vikings are a...
Adrian Peterson was shut down and Christian Ponder sidelined.
That left the Minnesota Vikings short-handed, overmatched and barely able to do much of anything against the Green Bay Packers.
Peterson was held to 99 yards, after gaining 199 and 210 in the first two games against Green Bay, and Joe Webb struggled in place of Ponder as the Packers rolled to a 24-10 victory over the...
The Minnesota Vikings will play against the Green Bay Packers this Saturday in the opening round of the NFC playoffs. NBC will carry this game which has a 8 pm EST kickoff from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI.
These two teams met last Sunday in that game the Vikings upended the Packers to earn a playoff birth. The Packers lost out on a first round bye with that loss but will host...
The Minnesota Vikings have an uphill climb to say the least tonight traveling up to the frozen tundra at Lambeau Field even more so now that Joe Webb was named the starting quarterback tonight despite never throwing a single pass the entire season. Christian Ponder is suffering from elbow bursitis and has been deemed inactive [...]The post Keys to Victory for the Minnesota Vikings...
The NFL Wildcard game at Lambeau Field last evening between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings unfolded a bit differently than expected. The outcome was the same: a victory, as most had predicted, including yours truly, by a final score of 24-10. But how it all played out was...different.Ponder out, Webb inFirst, and to the surprise of many, ViQueens QB Christian Ponder...