Originally written on Foxboro Blog  |  Last updated 12/4/12
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The Patriots opened as 3.5-point favorites as they prepare to host the Houston Texans on Monday Night Football in Week 14. An 11-1 team being labeled a significant underdog this late in the season is about as common as Antonio Cromartie using any form of birth control, so this spread deserves a careful eye. How can a 9-3 New England team with well-documented problems on defense be favored by more than a field goal against an 11-1 Texans team that has looked dominant most of the season on both sides of the ball? The biggest part of the spread may be due to some chinks showing up in the Houston armor the past few weeks on pass defense. Prior to shutting down a very shut-downable Jake Locker last week, the Texans had given up nearly 800 yards and 6 scores through the air in the previous two weeks against Detroit and Jacksonville. The Houston base defense was extremely tough in the first half of the season, so teams have started playing more 3+ WR sets to force the Texans into s...
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