One of the more entertaining games of the early slate of games, if you like offense, will be the (4-6) Bills taking on the (6-4) Colts. This game has wild card implications for both squads as Buffalo is looking to get in, while Indianapolis is looking to cushion their lead. It features two of the games more explosive offenses, with both teams being able to move the ball down the field at will against two defenses that rank near the bottom in every statistical category. Meaning: Expect a shoot out
The Bills will be well rested after 10 days off from beating the Miami Dolphins in a lack luster affair where they were able to create turnovers, move the ball down field but struggle in the Red Zone. It was the first time their defense showed up to play, picking off Ryan Tannehill 3 times and allowing less than 200 yards of offense for the first time all year.
Elusive running back C.J. Spiller had a big game as the feature back, racking up 98 yards, and with the addition of Fred Jackson back from his concussion, their 3rd ranked rushing attack looks to create havoc for the Colts who are improved, but still flawed against the run. The tandem have a combined average of 148 rushing yards per game, up against a defense that allows 119 a game, ranking in the bottom third of the league.
If the rushing attack gets going, it will take some pressure off of quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick who is 6 -1 since the start of last season when having less than 29 pass attempts. If the Colts can limit the rush, and make Fitzpatrick force throws, it will be a match up to look out for.
Rookie TY Hilton looks for his 3rd 100 yard game in four games this weekend against the Bills
The Colts are coming off their worst performance in the Andrew Luck era at the hands of the New England Patriots. Luck had two interceptions for touchdowns, and added another pick in a 59-24 drubbing. It was a humbling experience for a young Colts team who seemed to be playing above their head with the (6-3) record before the trip to Foxborough.
In listening to Andrew Luck’s practice this week, he understands that it was only one loss – no matter what the score says. The Colts will need to rebound against a hungry, and opportunistic Bills squad that can force turnovers and make you pay on offense.
The Colts will need to have some form of a running game to keep the pressure off of Luck to be successful. Rookie Vick Ballard has been a nice story at times, but needs to be more consistent to have an impact. He does average 3.7 yards a carry, but hasn’t racked up a big game to make him fantasy worthy yet.
Although Luck has been very good this year, and can force the ball down field at will, I am most impressed with his ability to read a defense. Early in his career, he is able to look off safeties and understand where all his check downs are. Besides RG3, who has a nice running game, there isn’t another quarterback like Luck in the league that can make the plays in an expanded role.
Luck will rely heavily on the ageless Reggie Wayne, who leads the team 76 catches and another 1000 yard season. Rookie TY Hilton, who I’m really high on, is a nice story. The Florida International burner looks for his 3rd 100 yard game in 4 games as the Colts passing attack can be explosive at times. Look for Hilton to have a nice game catching some screen plays, end-arounds, and at least one deep ball in the slot when fellow speedster Donnie Avery is covered.
Look for the Colts defense, which plays much better at home, combined with Luck’s passing game to do a number on the Bills defense which gives up 30 pts a game to be the difference in a classic shoot out. Colts win!
Fantasy – CJ Spiller, Stevie Johnson, Andrew Luck, , Reggie Wayne
Sleeper – Dwayne Allen, TY Hilton, Scott Chandler
Be careful – Fred Jackson, Vic Ballard