Found August 05, 2012 on Blue Seat Blogs:

As the season (hopefully) draws nearer, there are a lot of excited Ranger fans, and for good reason. Following the Rick Nash trade, the Rangers finally have scoring depth to match their bottom-six depth. If Mike Sauer can find a way to get healthy for the start of the season –having made tremendous progress– then the Rangers defense could be one of the best in the league. Throw in Henrik Lundqvist, and you have a Rangers organization that is strong and balanced from top to bottom.

But therein lies the expectations. On Twitter the other day, there were many people tweeting to me that they expect Ryan Callahan to hit 70 points this year. They expect Chris Kreider to hit 60 points this year. If these are the expectations for two players that likely won’t be seeing much time with more than one of the big three (Nash, Marian Gaborik, Brad Richards), then it scares me to think what the expectations are for those three. Based on the Cally expectations, are people expecting Nash, Gaborik, and Richards to each break 90 points? Perhaps 100 points?

Call me cautious, but it is likely best for all parties to assume that these players will likely hit their career averages in scoring. For Nash, that is likely going to be 32 goals and 60 points. Remember that Nash for his career has more goals than assists, and while that may be a product of who he has played with, setting the bar significantly higher can only lead to disappointment.

As for Richards and Gaborik, we don’t even know if they will be lining up with Nash when the Slovakian winger comes back from injury. The Rangers can create one super line, but it might benefit the organization to put Nash with Derek Stepan to create another dangerous scoring duo. It’s a more prudent assumption that Richards and Gaborik continue on pace with career averages as well.

Side note: Remember that while Gaborik is out, the opposition will focus on Richards and Nash defensively.

Looking at Kreider, let’s remember that if he hits 60 points, he’s almost guaranteed the Calder Trophy. Last year’s winner, Gabriel Landeskog of the Colorado Avalanche, didn’t even hit 60 points. Sure, the past winners (Jeff Skinner, Patrick Kane, Evgeni Malkin, Alex Ovechkin) have all eclipsed 60 points, but is Kreider really on a level with those guys?

I think it’s fair that since I spent the entire post about setting the bar too high, that I might give some of my own expectations for these players:

  • Nash: 30+ goals, 65+ points
  • Richards: 25 goals, 70+ points
  • Gaborik: 25 goals, 50+ points (coming off a major shoulder injury)
  • Kreider: 15 goals, 30 points
  • Cally: 20 goals, 45 points

These numbers definitely stay on the conservative side of things, but I’m looking more into the adjustment period for Nash, and the fact that until Gaborik returns, teams can key in on Richards/Nash defensively, forcing the secondary scorers to step up. This is the bar set for my level of disappointment. If they fail to hit these numbers, I will consider it a bad season. If they exceed these numbers by 15%-20%, then I will be very happy. Otherwise, it’s just meeting expectations.

Of course, meeting expectations isn’t exactly all that bad, considering these numbers here. That’s 115 goals between 4 1/2 players (Gaborik counts as a half here in my logic, which makes sense in my head), and doesn’t even include Derek Stepan, Carl Hagelin, or Michael Del Zotto.


Rangers set up well for 2013 draft even without a first-round pick

Most Rangers fans were relatively unconcerned when the team parted with its 2013 first-round pick to help acquire Rick Nash.  They recognized that the pick was likely to fall late in the 20s, giving it less value, and that New York’s farm system is already stocked with top tier prospects, making the pick less important to the club than it might have been a couple years ago. The...

Five Ways Rangers Fans Can Make August Not Boring

June and early July are the most exciting times of the summer for hockey fans. The Stanley Cup is awarded, the awards are handed out, the draft happens and then free agency is upon us. Ranger fans got their excitement when Rick Nash was traded to New York late in July. But August? It’s the [...]

Rick Nash Trade to Rangers Means Bruins Will Need to Find Other Ways to Improve Offense

It was unlikely that the Bruins were ever going to land Rick Nash, but there were undoubtedly still some B's fans hoping that general manager Peter Chiarelli would swing a trade for the talented forward. The Rangers eventually swooped in and nabbed the five-time All-Star, though, forcing Boston to find other ways to improve its offense. The Bruins don't need to improve drastically...

Prospects with a chance to make the team

As the offseason turns to August, and the rosters begin to take shape, the attention turns away from those with guaranteed roster spots and towards the many prospects within the system that are all competing to be that sleeper in camp. Last year Stu Bickel was that sleeper, and Carl Hagelin was the mid-season call up that many expected he would be. This year there aren’t as many...

Doan Has it Narrowed to 3 Teams; Rangers Included

Yes, the Shane Doan talk is beginning to get dragged out to an extent where it's a tad bit annoying to continuously read about. However, the New York Rangers' strong interest in the 35-year-old winger is not going away anytime soon, nor is the mutual interest from the other side.  We all know by now that the Blueshirts and Doan, in some capacity, would like to work out...

Henrik Lundqvist Could Play In Sweden If Lockout Occurs

During the 2004-2005 lockout, NHL players had to figure out a plan B in order to earn a paycheck and stay in game shape. Many players opted to play in Europe for the season, and it was during this period that Henrik Lundqvist of Frölunda would make a name for himself, winning Sweden's equivalent of the Vezina AND Hart trophies. It appears that, should a lockout occur, Lundqvist...

Would Shane Doan be a fit in New York?

Did you think the summer would be drama free after Rick Nash was finally traded? Wrong you were. Shane Doan continues to deliberate over his future, contemplating finishing his career out with Phoenix or taking on a new venture with a new club. Numerous teams have been linked to Doan including the Vancouver Canucks, Pittsburgh Penguins and the New York Rangers (Source). Would...

Introducing the Newest Rangers Tribune Staff

So as you've all seen, we've went through a bit of a recruitment process here on The Rangers Tribune to bulk up the staff for the 2012-13 season. That process is finally complete as I've went through all of the applications and made final decisions on which writers would be most beneficial to the direction I am looking to take this blog for the future, and trust me, I...

Rangers Reportedly on Doan's Short List

Larry Brooks at the New York Post reports that it has become more likely that Shane Doan could be wearing a Blueshirt..."Doan, who understandably wants this to be the last move he makes, is believed to have narrowed his sights on Manhattan, Pittsburgh and Vancouver. It's unclear if Rangers general manager Glen Sather is willing to go four years, but if he does, Doan is more...

NHL: Lots of talk, little action on NHL labor front

(PhatzRadio / AP) — NEW YORK – The Los Angeles Kings have the Stanley Cup. The Minnesota Wild won the free-agent sweepstakes by landing their $98 million stars, Zach Parise and Ryan Suter. And Rick Nash is now in the Big Apple. A dramatic spring and an eventful summer have given the NHL plenty of buzz. But ever so slowly, an uncertain autumn looms. Commissioner Gary Bettman...
NHL News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.