LATEST STORIES FROM BASEBALL PROFESSOR

Player Profile #107: Masahiro Tanaka | SP | NYY

Join Jake Devereaux and Adam Nodiff this Tuesday, January 27 @ 7:30 pm EST for a Mock Draft! We have slots open for 14 readers so if you want in you can reserve your spot here! With a 2.77 ERA, 2.67 SIERA, 1.06 WHIP, 26.0 K%, and 3.9 BB% last season, there’s absolutely no denying the 26-year-old Masahiro Tanaka is one of the best pitchers in baseball. Unfortunately, he has to...
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1 day ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #108: David Robertson | RP | CHW

Who’s ready to talk about a relief pitcher? “I am,” the author said begrudgingly. It should come as no surprise to you by now, but I really, really hate wasting words on relief pitchers. Give me a closer depth chart, give me a basic tiering of options with job security, give me some next-in-line options and a couple deep sleepers, and I’m good to go. But like it or not,...
Via Baseball Professor
1 day ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #109: Josh Harrison | 2B/3B/OF | PIT

At this time last year, FanGraphs was unrolling 2014 ZiPS projections, and Josh Harrison’s name was hard to find. A little Ctrl+F action shows no mention of him in that write-up previewing the 2014 Pirates, and the only place his name does appear is next to a yawn-inducing .264/.302/.399 slash line. By wOBA, Harrison’s projected .302 was behind notable sluggers Jose Tabata...
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1 day ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #110: Brian Dozier | 2B | MIN

There’s a very good possibility that it never gets any better than 2014 for Brian Dozier, who enjoyed far and away the best season of his career. He’ll be 27 years old when he starts the 2015 season and is still very much in the heart of his prime. Why do I doubt Dozier’s ability to repeat? Too many things went right for him, and finishing with only three fewer runs scored...
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1 day ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #111: Julio Teheran | SP | ATL

Are you having a hard time getting excited about Julio Teheran? Yeah, me too. I mean on the one hand his career ERA is just 3.16, and that’s a little bloated by a rough 26 innings across 2011 and 2012. In his first full season he finished at 3.20 and last year it plummeted further, down to 2.89. But even still, I’m really struggling to feel the same way about Teheran that I...
Via Baseball Professor
2 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #112: Chris Davis | 1B/3B | BAL

In a sense, drafting Chris Davis last year was a no-win move. Everyone knew he was going to fall from his 53-homer 2013 season, but no one really knew how far. Regardless, if you wanted a piece of him, you had to overpay. That’s precisely what I did in one league last season, and I regretted every minute of it. Actually, it’s quite possible that last season was the worst of...
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2 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #113: Lucas Duda | 1B | NYM

The Mets didn’t offer a whole lot of offensive bright spots to their fans last year, but that was in no way Lucas Duda’s fault. He absolutely did his part. As a team the Mets hit just 125 home runs last year, which was 11th-worst in the league, but again, nobody could point fingers at Duda for this lack of team offensive production. In April of last year, fellow (at the time...
Via Baseball Professor
2 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #114: Collin McHugh | SP | HOU

One of the most surprising pitchers of 2014? Screw that. Collin McHugh was one of the best pitchers of 2014, period. His 2.73 ERA ranked 15th in the league among the 102 pitchers with at least 150 IP, and his 3.16 SIERA ranked 16th. By K%-BB%, a great metric of pitcher dominance, McHugh’s 18.7% also ranked 15th, and his 1.02 WHIP was sixth. By pretty much every stat that matters...
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3 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #115: Dee Gordon | 2B | MIA

Dee Gordon was a tremendously valuable fantasy commodity in 2014. He may only weigh 170 pounds soaking wet, which severely undercuts any potential for power, but this scrappy little slap hitter pilfered his way to the second best second base ranking on ESPN’s Player Rater. Amazingly, even more complete talents at the position such as Anthony Rendon, Robinson Cano, and Brian...
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3 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #116: Melky Cabrera | OF | CHW

I should start this post with full disclosure: I’m a big Melky Cabrera fan. When he came up for the Yankees in 2005, playing center field as a 21-year-old rookie, I was really excited (obviously, I’m a Yankees fan). But, when Joe Torre decided to let him start against the Red Sox in a huge July game at the height of that rivalry, I knew that was a bad idea. As exciting as he...
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3 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #117: Mark Trumbo | 1B/OF | ARI

Around this time last year we were projecting huge things from Mark Trumbo in his first year in the desert. He checked in at 56th overall in our 2014 Top 200 Countdown on the strength of a projected 36 HR and 97 RBI. I take partial responsibility for missing on Trumbo. Of all the contributors here at Baseball Professor, I’m by far the most pro-Trumbo, but that’s because I...
Via Baseball Professor
4 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #118: Marcus Stroman | SP | TOR

You may not have seen much of Marcus Stroman in 2014, in no part due to his small stature (5’9, 185 lbs) but rather due to him beginning the year in the minor leagues. With that said, this 2012 amateur draft first-round pick of the Toronto Blue Jays has impressed every baseball enthusiast who has seen and covered him since he became a pro. After dominating minor league hitters...
Via Baseball Professor
4 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #119: Daniel Murphy | 2B/3B | NYM

After what seemed like a breakout in 2013, Daniel Murphy returned to who he is. I think the 2014 Murphy is more likely the guy we can expect to see, but there’s some room for optimism that he can get back to 2013. Expecting any more than that would be foolish, though. Really, the guy does nothing exciting. He inspires no love nor hate, and no one gets into heated arguments about...
Via Baseball Professor
4 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #120: Xander Bogaerts | 3B/SS | BOS

When the Red Sox failed to sign Jon Lester this offseason and found themselves with a rotation devoid of an ace, I made sure to give myself at least a few weeks before I listened to Boston sports radio again. It wasn’t because I didn’t agree with the need for an ace but because I couldn’t stand to hear callers propose fake trades involving Xander Bogaerts, who, in my opinion...
Via Baseball Professor
4 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #121: Alexei Ramirez | SS | CHW

On April 16 of last season, Alexei Ramirez set a White Sox club record by hitting safely in the first 16 games of the season. That was only the beginning. After two down seasons in which his power seemed to have vanished, the former 15 HR player had the look of a swing-happy, slap-hitting, speed-only player who maintained fantasy value solely by virtue of his shortstop eligibility...
Via Baseball Professor
4 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #122: Brandon Moss | 1B/OF | CLE

Most people will probably remember Brandon Moss’ 2014 season in two ways: Terrible second-half slump Two-homer wild card game, seemingly out of nowhere On the surface that’s a fair assessment of how his season went, but it’s also incomplete. A quick look at Moss’ end-of-season stats — .234, 25 HR, 81 RBI — shows a considerable amount of pop, but imagine how awesome...
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5 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #123: Brett Gardner | OF | NYY

Last year was an especially productive fantasy season for Brett Gardner, particularly from a power perspective. He set a new career best in home runs by a wide margin. His 17 dingers were more than double his previous single-season high. With all those home runs it’s also no wonder he set a career high in runs batted in. In some ways, you could even consider Gardner’s 2014 season...
Via Baseball Professor
5 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #124: Cliff Lee | SP | PHI

Cliff Lee didn’t enjoy much success during his age-35 season with the Philadelphia Phillies last year. The Phillies also struggled following their trend of dropping one spot in the standings every year, going from third in 2012 to fourth in 2013 and finally to last place in 2014. It’s no secret that the Phillies find themselves in the middle of a full-on rebuild with two of...
Via Baseball Professor
8 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #125: Danny Salazar | SP | CLE

In 2013 Danny Salazar was one of baseball’s most exciting pitchers. A 30.8 K%, 7.1 BB%, and 2.72 SIERA in 10 starts were on par with what Yu Darvish was doing that season (32.9 K%, 9.5 BB%, 2.76 SIERA), though obviously Darvish did it over a much larger span. Those major league numbers were mirror images of what Salazar had done in the minors prior to his call-up to Cleveland...
Via Baseball Professor
9 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #126: Pablo Sandoval | 3B | BOS

Kung-Fu Panda is coming to Boston, much to the chagrin of Giants fans who loved rooting for him during their three World Series Championships over the last five seasons. The last part of that sentence partially makes that OK for Giants fans, but losing a charismatic player always stings. Sandoval will now fill Boston’s monumental hole at third base as he chases another championship...
Via Baseball Professor
9 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #127: Matt Carpenter | 3B | STL

In 2013 Matt Carpenter scored 126 runs batting leadoff for St. Louis. The 2013 edition of the Cardinals were historically great at situational hitting, batting .330 as a team with RISP. The next closest team was Detroit at .282. It was those consistent, timely hits that propelled Carpenter over 120 runs on the year, and everyone expected regression. In fact, Carpenter became the...
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9 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #128: Dallas Keuchel | SP | HOU

When you google the phrase “ground ball” here’s what you’ll find: See that spike just a smidge before 2010? That is all due to my man Dallas Keuchel getting drafted and becoming a professional baseball player in 2009. I would say I kid, but to all the worms out there this is no laughing matter, so why make it one? Say Keuchel in front an earth worm and see what happens...
Via Baseball Professor
9 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #129: Denard Span | OF | WAS

In 2009 Denard Span finished his second MLB season with 97 R, 8 HR, 68 RBI, 23 SB, and a .311 BA for a Twins offense that finished fifth in the league in runs scored (817). While 2009 was six years ago and the offensive environment was more favorable then, that’s still an impressive stat line. Compared to actual 2014 stat lines that’s not too dissimilar from what Christian...
Via Baseball Professor
10 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #130: Homer Bailey | SP | CIN

Because I find charts and images to be more digestible, below I present to you a pair of charts that show the tumultuous 2014 season Homer Bailey endured: Chart 1: ERA and xFIP by Month Bailey’s xFIP remained stable but his ERA consistently improved Chart 2: K% and BB% by Month Bailey’s K% alternated between good and bad months On the first chart we see Bailey started...
Via Baseball Professor
10 days ago  |  Discuss

Player Profile #131: Elvis Andrus | SS | TEX

Since breaking into the majors in 2009, Elvis Andrus has tallied the sixth-most PA in baseball with 3,974, or 662 per season. If you start the counter from 2010, his second season, Andrus is tops among all. That’s what happens when you play every day batting leadoff for what has mostly been a prolific offense. I say mostly because whatever dreck the Rangers were trotting out last...
Via Baseball Professor
10 days ago  |  Discuss
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