LATEST STORIES FROM OPTIMUM SCOUTING

NFL Play-Calling: Using Expected Points to Compare the Value of Pass and Run Plays

The NFL has rarely seen a drastic change in the way teams do things on the field.  Over the course of football’s long, long history strategies and tendencies have shifted greatly, but not to the degree of a strategical quasi-revolution.  Using Expected Points we will debate whether or not the NFL is due for a drastic shift in play-calling to an unprecedented extent. By: Anthony...
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3 days ago  |  Discuss

Mason Rudolph, Ryan Tannehill Comparison, and Why He May Emerge As a Top 2017 NFL Draft Pick

Deshaun Watson has earned the title of the 2017 draft’s pre-season best quarterback prospect. He was a Heisman finalist, the offensive catalyst for the nation’s second-best team, and a dual threat quarterback with the mobility and arm talent that fits the modern day NFL prototype. By: Eric Galko Miami (FL)’s Brad Kaaya and Washington State’s Luke Falk, among others, have...
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8 days ago  |  Discuss

Pressure Production, Pre-Season Edition: Using “Expected Points” to Value Pressure

You could go round and round for days debating the value of different events that happen during an NFL game.  Using analytics and Expected Points, though, we can settle those debates rather quickly.  Here we use the Expected Points metric to tackle (pun intended) how the value of a pressure compares to that of a sack. By: Anthony Chiado There were over 30,000 plays run during the...
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9 days ago  |  Discuss

Quantifying Quarterbacks, Pre-Season Edition: Gustafson Needs to Prove He’s Up to the Task

Coming from the FCS level, Brady Gustafson is already drawing comparisons to Carson Wentz. Not only is that an unfair expectation for Gustafson to live up to, but the two are not that similar as players. By: Derrik Klassen Both of them have interesting tools that need to be refined, sure, but Gustafson’s situation is much different. Gustafson was playing with a new coaching staff...
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11 days ago  |  Discuss

Purdue’s Ra’Zahn Howard Leads Our 2016 NFL Supplemental Draft Backgrounds and Scouting Reports

The Supplemental Draft is designed for players who have only one year of eligibility remaining at the college level, but are disallowed from playing their final collegiate season, usually due to NCAA or team violations. The 2016 class could see the just the second player drafted in the last 4 years (since Josh Gordon’s 2012 drafting) with Ra’Zahn Howard of Purdue offering defensive...
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11 days ago  |  Discuss

Big Deal: Save $25 on ALL Ticket Network Orders

The 4th of July weekend is coming quickly upon us and our friends at Ticket Network are running a special promotion to celebrate our Independence Day! Use promo code USA25OFF to take $25 on all orders over $150.00*. If you can’t save the world from an alien extinction this 4th of July, at least you can save some serious cash on your tickets!   This discount cannot be combined...
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24 days ago  |  Discuss

Quantifying Quarterbacks, Pre-Season Edition: Iowa’s CJ Beathard Lacks a Dynamic Element Right Now

The Iowa Hawkeyes managed to go undefeated last season up until the conference championship versus Michigan State, a game that was theirs until the Spartans final possession. CJ Beathard, who forced Jake Rudock to transfer because he stole the starting job, was at the helm of the team’s offense. Beathard did not prove to be a spectacular talent, but he did flash interesting tools...
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24 days ago  |  Discuss

Pressure Production, Pre-Season Edition (Part 2): Louisville’s Devonte Fields Offers Most Upside after Top Tier

The 2016 EDGE Rusher class was relatively poor. Now that it’s summer, though, we can look forward to what should be a special 2017 EDGE Rusher class. From the elite talents like Carl Lawson and Myles Garrett to the middle-round players that help fortify a draft class like Derek Barnett and Quan Muhammad, here is a look at 10 of the best players at the position for 2017. By: Anthony...
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24 days ago  |  Discuss

Pressure Production, Pre-Season Edition (Part 1): Auburn’s Lawson Leads Top Tier of Edge Rushers

The 2016 EDGE Rusher class was relatively poor. Now that it’s summer, though, we can look forward to what should be a special 2017 EDGE Rusher class. From the elite talents like Carl Lawson and Myles Garrett to the middle-round players that help fortify a draft class like Derek Barnett and Quan Muhammad, here is a look at 10 of the best players at the position for 2017. By: Anthony...
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25 days ago  |  Discuss

Quantifying Quarterbacks, Pre-Season Edition: Still Waiting on Josh Dobbs’s Step Forward

Josh Dobbs looks to be another tally on the “players who didn’t take their expected step forward” wall. His sophomore season in 2014 painted Dobbs as a brilliant passer with an adequate arm and the mobility to keep a defense on their toes. It was clear that he needed some fine tuning, but there appeared to be something there with him. He was talked about all throughout the...
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26 days ago  |  Discuss

NFL Contract Talk: Why Fletcher Cox’s New Contract May Hurt the Eagles Long-Term

  As you’ve no doubt heard, Fletcher Cox just signed a mammoth deal with the Philadelphia Eagles. The contract extension totals $102.6 million over six years and makes Cox the highest paid defensive player in terms of total guarantees ($63 million) and the second highest paid defensive player in terms of average annual compensation (only Ndamukong Suh makes more per year on average...
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June 17, 2016  |  Discuss

Contract Year Motivation, Quantified: A Wide Receiver Study

Whether you are an NFL team looking for contracts analysis, a fan looking for fantasy football players to target, or both (though I’m pretty sure that’s illegal), this article is for you. We are talking about what happens to players – specifically wide receivers – before, during, and after their contract years. The results are striking. If you want to skip straight to them...
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June 08, 2016  |  Discuss

2016 Fantasy Football: Top-50 Rookie Rankings, Projections and Sleepers

We’re still a ways away from solving training camp battles, understanding rookies’ roles and plans from coaching staffs and navigating through the remainder of free agent signings and training camp cuts. But with rookie drafts already starting up and to provide a starting point for rookie expectations, I’ve ranked the top 50 rookies in terms of their fantasy football potential...
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May 16, 2016  |  Discuss

Chase Daniel, Connor Cook and the Rising Value of Drafting Backup Quarterbacks

Historically, quarterbacks picked after the third round haven’t found much NFL success. Sure, there are outliers like Tom Brady and Marc Bulger who are quickly groomed into plus NFL starters despite being Day 3 picks. But for the most part, fishing for a starting QB after the second or third round is a fruitless exercise. Yet I believe it’s time NFL teams starting doing it far...
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May 11, 2016  |  Discuss

After Ten Years: A Thank You To Those Who Have Helped Optimum Scouting Grow

Over the last ten years of working as an evaluator in some shape or fashion, with the last five years being under the Optimum Scouting name, I wanted to thank some of the fantastic individuals I’ve had the privilege of working with. These people all have provided invaluable support, work product, and growth for me personally over these last ten years that is impossible for me to...
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May 10, 2016  |  Discuss

2016 NFL Draft: Dream Bowl Players Poised to Make NFL Rosters

With six NFL teams along with other professional league scouts, the Dream Bowl began to build on positive momentum the last two years that Optimum Scouting has been a part of it. Having multiple teams attend and seeing their efforts rewarded by finding small school talent for their rosters is a great step forward for an all-star event that’s supremely organized and poised for great...
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May 07, 2016  |  Discuss

2016 NFL Draft Review: Jaguars Lead Winners, Browns Lead Losers in AFC Review

Every year the draft shakes out much differently than we expect.  The draft boards of NFL teams differ significantly from the draft analysts in the media and that leaves us thinking some teams are significant winners and others blew their picks.  In reality most teams end up falling somewhere in between.  Even so, here are three teams from the AFC who loaded up on quality players...
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May 02, 2016  |  Discuss

2016 NFL Draft: Evaluating How Each Drafted Quarterback Fits With Their New Team

15 quarterbacks were selected in the 2016 NFL Draft, a total that more than doubles the 7 quarterbacks that were taken last year. The first two selections, Jared Goff and Carson Wentz, were more than expected, but the rest of the quarterback class shook out in interesting fashion. By: Derrik Klassen Jared Goff, Cal – Los Angeles Rams (1st overall)Goff steps into Los Angeles without...
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April 30, 2016  |  Discuss

2016 NFL Draft: Best Available Undrafted Free Agents

After 253 picks, these players are still available. Top prospects include Duke’s Jeremy Cash, Michigan State’s Jack Allen, Baylor’s Jay Lee, Harvard’s Anthony Fabiano and Ohio State’s Jalin Marshall. Quarterbacks are ranked separately, while the top players from our initial Top-300 Big Board, 110 players remain. Included is their Current Rank, Overall Rank (of the 300)...
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April 30, 2016  |  Discuss

2016 NFL Draft: Sterling Shepard to the Giants and other Great Team and Player Fits from Day 2

By: Christian Page DE Kevin Dodd and TennesseeJust seeing average production from outside edge threats Brian Orakpo and Derrick Morgan, Dodd will serve as an instant primary pass rushing threat that the Titans need. Though Dodd burst onto the scene this past season in a 4-3 defensive scheme at Clemson, adjusting to a 3-4 outside linebacker with his range and ability to set the edge...
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April 30, 2016  |  Discuss

2016 NFL Draft: Top-200 Prospects Available for Day 3

While quarterbacks aren’t on included on this list, surprising names like Connor Cook and Cardale Jones slipped to Day 3 of the draft, some of our favorites like Tavon Young, Alex Collins and Kenneth Dixon are still available for Day 3 as well. Here’s our Top-200 Players left for Day 3 of the draft. CR OR PR Name Pos College Round 1 32 3 Young, Tavon CB Temple 2nd 2 34 3 Collins...
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April 29, 2016  |  Discuss

2016 NFL Mock Draft: Day 2 Projections Rounds Two and Three

While Day 2 of the draft is five times harder to project than the first-round, I’ve done my best to match teams and players, focusing on what I’ve heard, value and need, in that order. There’s an asterisk next to the team-player fits I’m most confident in, 12 in total. ROUND 2 Team Player Pos College 32 Cleveland Browns Connor Cook QB Michigan State 33 Tennessee Titans...
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April 29, 2016  |  Discuss

2016 NFL Draft: Why Eli Apple Was the First Cornerback Drafted, to the New York Giants

Entering the night, the Giants had a couple of players hoping to select at Pick 10 if the rest of the draft shook up as they planned. Balancing out the off-the-field issues and weaknesses in each player’s game, New York compiled all its notes together just to fall short of what they had hoped would happen with two of its most coveted players going before it was their time to bat...
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April 29, 2016  |  Discuss

2016 NFL Draft: Looking at Why Laremy Tunsil Fell to Miami at 13

Regarded as one of the top players in the entire draft class, former Ole Miss offensive tackle Laremy Tunsil fell out of the top 10 into the lap of Miami. Not being viewed as a team with offensive tackle as a primary need, the Dolphins embodied the draft strategy of taking the best player available and possibly the best player on their board to begin with regardless of positional...
Via Optimum Scouting
April 29, 2016  |  Discuss

2016 NFL Draft: Top-200 Prospects Left for Day 2 of the Draft

After a first round that saw Myles Jack and A’Shawn Robinson slip out of the first and surprise early picks such as Keanu Neal and Josh Garnett, here are the top-200 prospects remaining for the second and third rounds of the 2016 NFL Draft. CR OR PR Name Pos College Round 1 4 1 Jack, Myles OLB UCLA 1st 2 8 2 Spence, Noah OLB Eastern Kentucky 1st 3 12 1 Robinson, A’Shawn DT...
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April 28, 2016  |  Discuss
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