Since we published the first installment of our 2020 free agent power rankings in November, there haven’t been a ton of injuries, contract extensions or other developments that will shake up our list in a major way. However, with a handful of free-agents-to-be enjoying breakout seasons and others struggling, it’s time for an update.
The biggest change this time around is the fact that Mike Conley and Otto Porter no longer show up in our top-20 list. That doesn’t mean that Conley or Porter wouldn’t be one of the top 20 players on the open market this summer if they reach free agency. But due to injuries -- and up-and-down play when they’ve been on the court -- I no longer feel confident projecting them to even become free agents.
As our full list of potential 2020 free agents shows, Conley has an early termination option worth approximately $34.5 million for next season, while Porter has a player option worth nearly $28.5 million. Unless they make very strong second-half comebacks, I’d be surprised if either player opts out of his contract at season’s end, since they seem highly unlikely to match those 2020-21 salaries on new deals. As such, they’ve been removed from our list of 2020’s top free agents for the time being.
As usual, our list reflects each player’s current expected value on the 2020 free agent market, rather than a their present-day on-court contributions. For instance, older players such as Marc Gasol and Paul Millsap have strong short-term value, but didn’t crack our top 20 because they’ll be 35 next summer and are unlikely to sign huge, long-term deals. In other words, age and long-term value are important.
With all that in mind, here’s the second installment of our 2020 free agent power rankings:
Anthony Davis, F/C, Lakers (player option): The No. 1 player on our board is the only legit superstar on track to reach unrestricted free agency this summer. If anything, Davis’ position atop this list is even more secure than it was at the start of the season, since he has posted MVP-type numbers (26.5 PPG, 9.1 RPG, 3.2 APG, 2.5 BPG) for a Lakers team that leads the Western Conference.
Davis Bertans, F, Wizards: Bertans narrowly missed a spot on the top 20 in the previous installment of our power rankings. It’s impossible to keep him off the list now, amid ongoing chatter that he could be looking at $15 million per year on his next deal. Incredibly, Bertans has nearly doubled his rate of three-point attempts per game this year – from 4.4 to 8.5 – while still ranking among the league leaders in 3PT% (.422).
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Figures via Spotrac.