Found July 16, 2009 on Redleg Nation:
Picimg_mlb_mar_07_7c6f
The second half begins…. I’m not going to lie to you; I’m a little concerned about the recent slide from the good guys. As noted the other day, this season is teetering on the edge. If the Reds go just 35-40 the rest of the way — I hope it doesn’t happen, but it isn’t entirely unreasonable, is it? — then they will finish the season 77-85. Heck, if they just play 3 games under .500 during the second half, as they did in the first half, they will still lose 84 games. Ugly when you think about it like that, huh? So, in order to win 85 games and possibly stay somewhat close in a race where the teams ahead of us collapse, the Reds would have to go 43-32 in the second half. I guess that’s theoretically possible. I want to believe that, anyway. Try to ignore the fact that it would require the Reds to win at a .573 clip and leapfrog four teams. To win 90 games, the Reds would have to go 48-27, a .640 pace. Well, anything’s possible in ba...
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