The People vs. Andy Reid: The Evidence

Posted November 14, 2012

The number of indictments we have against Andy Reid are numerous. For example, the complete eradication of the team's identity. There's also the horrendous drafts and personnel decisions. Yet there are some in the court of public opinion who would still appeal our verdict of Reid being fired. They say look at his resume and of course the tired "careful what you wish for" excuse.

Today I'm going to show everyone that numbers don't lie. I'm here to give some DNA evidence if you will. I'd like to thank Cold Hard Football for these numbers.

First, we have Scorability. This measures offensive efficiency, or how effectively teams turn yards into points. The Eagles currently 31st in this category. You get this number by dividing Yards Gained on Offense by Points Scored. The Eagles have gained 3306 yards but have a measly 154 points to show for it. So they need 21.54 yards of offense to score ONE point. For a TD and PAT they would need to 150.8 yards to score. That's 1.5 football fields and a lot of wasted effort.

What about the defense? Not much better. For this we have Bendability. This measures defensive efficiency, or how hard teams make opponents work to score points. The Eagles rank 25th. Bendability is defensive yards given up divided by points yielded. Opponents have only needed 13.76 yards of offense to score 1 point on the Eagles. Or 96.32 yards for a TD and PAT. Too easy.

The Chiefs actually rank the lowest in both categories but they don't have the talent. It's understandable. The Eagles, on the other hand, are perfectly talented, but have failed miserably in execution.

To sum it all up, the best and most well-coached teams will rank high in both of these stats and vice-versa. Poor red zone offense and defense, bad penalties, turnovers and under-achieving special teams all conspire to hijack a team's efficiency -- and even its season. 

The Eagles are the living embodiment of inefficiency: a lot of empty wasted yards on offense that don't translate into points paired with a lot of cheap scores surrendered on defense

It's situation football that separates smart, contending teams from dumb pretenders.

This kind of poor situational football is a losing formula for any team no matter the level and reason enough for Reid's dismissal as head coach. 

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