Originally posted on Losers Bracket  |  Last updated 1/2/12

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl Game—January 2, 2011 @ 7:30 p.m.—Glendale, Arizona
Oklahoma State Cowboys (11-1) vs. Stanford Cardinal (11-1)
Line: Oklahoma State -3.5 O/U 73.5

CLONEROACH PREDICTION

Oklahoma State is simply more battle-tested. The Cowboy receivers and running backs will cause the Cardinal LB’s fits in space. An OSU defense that has been much maligned will force three turnovers at the expense of Luck’s offense tonight and the Cowboys show the nation they deserved a shot at title.

PREDICTED FINAL: Oklahoma State 48 Stanford 31
PLAYS: Oklahoma State -3.5 (two units) Over 73.5 (Honorable Mention Only)

OKLAHOMA STATE

If you have listened to my column over the last month there is little doubt that you know my opinion on Oklahoma State. They should be playing the National Title game compared to an Alabama offense that couldn’t score with a sorority chick at .20. Oklahoma State’s offense is amazing averaging 49.3 points per game and 557 yards on offense. The offense is led by Brandon Weeden who completed 72% of his passes and threw for 4328 yards and 34 touchdowns. Perhaps the only knock on Weeden is that he has a tendency to throw into coverage and thus the 12 Int’s this season. The Cowboy rushing game is two-headed monster of Joseph Randle (1193 yards, 23 TD’s) and Jeremy Smith (645 yards, 9TD’s). The OSU o-line gave up only 11 sacks this season and the rushing game averaged 5.4 yards per carry. The receiving game is all about Justin Blackmon who will be the Top WR taken in the NFL draft. Blackmon is a physical specimen who caught 113 balls this year for 1336 yards and 15 TD’s. Blackmon did this despite seeing a number of double teams throughout the year.

The Oklahoma State defense is often discussed as a liability giving up 25.8 points per game and 443 yards per game. However, the defense forces a ton of turnovers and the team as a whole finished +18 in turnover margin this year. The Defensive backs of Markelle Martin (11 pass break ups) and Broderick Brown (15 pass break ups and 5 Ints) will make it difficult on the Stanford WR’s.
Oklahoma State was 8-1 against bowl teams.

STANFORD

The Stanford offense has been special this year averaging 43.6 points and 481 yards per contest. Andrew Luck had a tremendous year with a completion rate of 70% and 35 TD’s to only 9 Int’s. However, Luck also had a tendency to turn the ball over in crucial situations. The leading rusher is Stepfan Taylor (1153 yards, 8 Td’S) while Griff Whalen (49 receptions, 664 yards) and Coby Fleener (32 catches, 648 yards) lead the passing game.

Stanford’s defense has been terrific against the run (90 yards per game) and not so good against the pass. Stanford is allowing opposing QB’s to complete 61% of their passes and average 241 yards passing per game. The Stanford defense tries to get pressure (38 sacks per game) but the OSU line has only given up 11 sacks this season. The defense is led by LB’s Jerek Lancaster (63 tackles, 3.5 sacks, 3.5 TFL) and Chase Thomas (51 tackles, 8.5 sacks, 9 Tfl).
Stanford was 5-1 against bowl teams.

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