Originally posted on Crystal Ball Run  |  Last updated 11/6/13

Photo Credit: USA Today Sports Over the last two years, the SEC has replaced over 40% of their head coaches. In the "win now" era of college football, the SEC is no doubt a leader in that sentiment. At the beginning of the season, the popular opinion was that Missouri's Gary Pinkel was the most likely coach to be replaced at the end of the 2013 season. Right now, Missouri is the leader in the SEC East and he's solidified his spot. That leaves two coaches in Florida's Will Muschamp and Mississippi State's Dan Mullen that are now on the hot seat in the SEC. Let's take a look at some of the numbers behind the coaches....   Dan Mullen Will Muschamp Overall Record 33-26 (55.9%) 22-12 (64.7%) SEC Record 14-22 (38.8%) 13-9 (59.1%) Record against Top 25 2-18 (10%) 4-9 (30.7%) Best Season 9-4 in 2010 11-2 in 2012 Current Record 4-4 (1-3 in SEC) 4-4 (3-3 in SEC) If you look at the raw data, you have to come to the conclusion that Dan Mullen's seat is much hotter than Muschamp's. Mullen has been in place for longer so he should have a better hold on the program as he's playing with only players that he has recruited. He also has a worse record no matter how you stack it up and his record against Top 25 teams is brutal. But, sometimes it's not that easy. At Mississippi State, there isn't exactly a history of highly successful football. Mullen's 55% winning percentage is the highest of any Bulldogs coach dating all the way back to Darrell Royal (who went 12-8 over a two year stretch from 1954 to 1955). Prior to Mullen taking over, Sylvester Croom had the reigns and he posted just one winning season in five tries. Mullen has had three winning seasons out of four (his only losing season so far was his first year in Starkville). While Mullen is kind of stuck in a rut, he's still better than anything Mississippi State has had in recent memory.  When you look at Muschamp you also have to look at the history of the Florida program. Recently, the program has been elite. Florida has won three National Championships, eight Conference Championships and twelve Divisional Championships since 1990. With winning comes higher expectations and right now Muschamp's team is not living up to those expectations. Muschamp has also struggled against rival Georgia. Prior to Muschamp's arrival, Florida had won 18 of 21. In the Muschamp era, Florida is now 0-3 against the Dawgs. It is important to think about other factors when it comes to making a change and injuries have gutted this year's Florida team. In 2012, Florida went 11-2 but the injury bug has hit hard this season. How big of an impact did it have is something Athletic Director Jeremy Foley will have to consider. Another question is if making a change at offensive coordinator would make a difference for the Gators heading into 2014. But would Muschamp make the right decision as his last two hires (Charlie Weis and Brent Pease) leave a lot to be desired. Verdict: Dan Mullen- I put Mullen's chance of survival at 60% right now. The Bulldogs are currently 4-4 but have games remaining at Texas A&M and Arkansas and at home against Alabama and Ole Miss. Mullen's job could come down to the Ole Miss game. The Bulldogs will likely enter that game at 5-6 and after losing by 17 to Hugh Freeze last year on the road, Mullen needs a win at home. If Mullen is retained by Mississippi State I wouldn't be surprised to see him take a longer look around in the off-season to see if there might be another landing spot for him. Will Muschamp- Florida is currently 4-4 and has remaining games with South Carolina and Florida State. No matter how you stack it up, 6-6 just doesn't cut it at Florida. Because of all of the injuries I wouldn't be surprised if Muschamp is retained but the way Florida has played has turned some of the fanbase against Muschamp and the cry to get rid of him might be too loud for Foley to ignore. I put Muschamp's chance of survival at around 33% right now. Follow Crystal Ball Run on Twitter, Facebook, Google+ and YouTube. Subscribe to the Crystal Ball Run newsletter and podcast.

GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

A-Rod: Ortiz deserves Fenway statue, street named after him

Report: Bosh's camp 'angry and suspicious of Heat's intentions'

JJ Watt pens dramatic letter to fans about back injury

Le’Veon Bell vows to win appeal: ‘I’m not going to miss games’

Dallas Cowboys' team employee bus involved in fatal crash

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Aldon Smith posts video under a pseudonym of a blunt on Periscope

WATCH: Cam Newton get blocked by a girl playing volleyball

Russia avoids complete ban from Rio Olympics by the IOC

Report: Padres trying to move Andrew Cashner, Derek Norris

Baseball's top prospect called up to majors by Astros

Report: Braves 'aggressively' shopping Francoeur, Aybar

KD, Draymond Green booed in L.A. during Team USA exhibition

Top storyline for each NFL team heading into training camp

Eight MLB veterans that need to be traded before deadline

Andre the Giant drank six bottles of wine before match?

Cristiano Ronaldo spars with Conor McGregor in gym

Adam Silver is the new standard-bearer for league commisioners

Iowa football player held at gunpoint by police while playing Pokemon Go

Eight most significant injuries going into NFL training camp

Man. U players banned from playing 'Pokemon Go?'

Ken Griffey Jr. put on backwards hat during HOF speech

Mike Piazza honors 9/11 victims during Hall of Fame speech

Jeremy Lin hints he is racially profiled by arena employees

College Football News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

One Gotta Go: Do NBA players really love NBA2K?

Effect of ban on Russia could span beyond the Olympic Games

One Gotta Go: NBA players hate Facebook too

QUIZ: Name every city to host the NBA All-Star Game

One Gotta Go: NBA players settle the fast food beef

One Gotta Go: NBA players make tough choices on their favorite rappers

One Gotta Go: NBA Summer League is not about that Game of Thrones life

The top NHL free agents available as offseason winds down

WATCH: NBA jersey sponsors that need to happen

Expansion draft playing heavy hand in the current NHL offseason

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker