ALDS Game 1 preview

  @      First Pitch: Friday 3:07 | Fenway Park | TBS/WEEI 2013 vs. Rays: 12-7 | +14 Run differential  Game 1 Matchup:   Matt Moore, LHP  2013: 17-4, 3.29 ERA Jon Lester, LHP  2013: 15-8, 3.75 ERA Career vs. Sox: 2-2, 3.86 ERA, 0.989 WHIP Career vs. Rays: 12-9, 4.30 ERA, 1.318 WHIP 2013 vs. Sox: 2-0, 1.80 ERA, 0.533 WHIP 2013 vs. Rays: 2-1, 4.32 ERA, 1.440 WHIP Last outing against the Sox: 7/22: (W) 9 IP, 0 R,2 H, BB, 4 K  Last outing against the Rays: 7/23: (W) 6.1 IP, 7H 2 ER, 8 K Key to Sox victory: Offense proving the long layoff was a good thing I've been killing the topic to death, but my main concern is the Sox ability to come off of this break firin'. The Rays have played a couple of high-intensity games since Sunday, which has kept them loose, and also tired them out a little bit. Matt Moore is a very tough pitcher and the Sox will have no room to shake off the rust.    Which Ray to watch out for: Matt Moore His 2013 and career numbers against the Sox do all the talking. Look at that WHIP. It is safe to say that the Red Sox were one of, if not his favorite opponents of 2013. The Sox can't let him get past 6 innings. Prediction I don't feel good about this game, but I do feel better about this one than tomorrow's. Jon Lester needs some run support, and he is going to get little. This may be an old fashioned pitchers duel with the Sox prevailing in late-inning heroics to pull out a 2-1 victory.