Found October 27, 2011 on Waiting For Next Year:
Mlb_jun_23_19dc

By Monday, we’ll know what the Indians have decided about both the Grady Sizemore  ($9 million) and Fausto Carmona ($7 million) options for 2012.  That’s because the Indians have three days after the end of the World Series to make these decisions, and if Game 7 is necessary, it will take place Friday.

I’ve written about both these options several times (I’ve written about them so many times I’ve even repeated titles).  To reiterate, my thinking went something like this:

  • They will pick up Fausto’s option, which is probably wise.  It seems odd to suggest that Fausto Carmona and “risk-averse” should be used in the same sentence, but there won’t be a pitcher available for that amount of money on a one year deal who’s more likely than Fausto to give us #2-#3 production.  In that way, picking up the option is the least risky thing to do.  This is only compounded by the fact that we’ll be without Carlos Carrasco for all of 2012.
  • They will not pick up Sizemore’s $9 million option.  This could result in them announcing a new, multi-year deal with Sizemore—which Paul Hoynes has said is out of the question—or just cutting him loose.  But spending $9 million on a one-year player who’s most recent list of accomplishments include two knee surgeries, a sports-hernia surgery and a bum elbow just doesn’t make much sense.  If they believe his injuries are temporary, they try their hardest to sign him to a three year contract; if not, they don’t.  Either way, $9 million for one year seems crazy.

Or at least that’s what I think.

But it’s important to remember that what I think and what you think and what anyone else who’s not intimately familiar with the Indians’ front office thinks is not only not important (since we won’t make the decision), but probably not all that valid.

And that’s because there are somewhere between 100 and 1,000 things that we just can’t know about this situation.  There are the obvious things, like MRIs that we don’t have access to, or off-season workouts that we don’t get to see, or in-house evaluation metrics that aren’t shared with the public.

But there are also the more nebulous factors.  What sort of team does Chris Antonetti want to build?  Does he value veteran players (beyond their on-field production)?  Does ownership have a say in this?  If so, how much?  Does the front office, despite what they say publicly, feel that it’s 2012 or bust for this group?  Each of these questions has an answer that could significantly impact the decision facing the club this weekend.  And while we like to imagine that we can divine the motivations and impulses of our front office, the truth is that we really have no idea what they’re thinking.

So while I’m pretty confident in my prediction, I also have this nagging feeling that I might get surprised this weekend.  If I had to guess, Antonetti and company have already made their decisions.  Sunday will just offer the formality and finality of an official announcement.  And the reminder that for all the thinking and writing we do about these things: we just can’t predict what a team will do when they have more information than we do.  Remember the Ubaldo trade?

(Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

THE BACKYARD
BEST OF MAXIM
AROUND THE WEB
RELATED ARTICLES

In An Ideal World Sizemore’s Option Wouldn’t Be a Question

First of all, please don’t accuse me of bashing the Dolan family.  That isn’t what this post is about.  They deserve some of the blame for their spending habits, but ultimately they are playing in an environment that has all sorts of factors working outside of their control as well.  Over poker last night I was talking to my friends about what this team would be like if Dick...

Jim Thome: Slugger Gets Closure in Cleveland

Twenty years ago this very month, Jim Thome took a ninth-inning, two-out, one-ball pitch to deep right field, sending the ball crashing into the sea of empty blue plastic chairs that littered the upper deck at the old Yankee Stadium, merely fading into the night along with the hopes of the men in pinstripes.  New York reliever Steve Farr allowed the two-run shot to the rookie...

Sizemore's future with Tribe examined: Terry Pluto

Pretend that Grady Sizemore never spent his career with the Indians, that his career had been spent with the Kansas City Royals. CHUCK CROW/PLAIN DEALERGrady Sizemore has struggled to stay healthy in the past several years for the Indians....

The Dugout: Jim Thome’s Back(yard)

The hilarious pull-quote featured to the right is from an ESPN article detailing Jim Thome’s address to the City Club of Cleveland, wherein he announces that despite the market not being flush for 41-year old designated hitters he’d still like to play in 2012. “In a year or two, this team can do some very special things,” Thome said. “They have put the groundwork in,...

Cleveland Indians A.M. Links: Manny Acta understands Game 5 debacle; decision time when it comes to Grady Sizemore

Manny Acta knows Tony La Russa's pain.

Sporting News names Asdrubal Cabrera to AL All-Star team at shortstop

Asdrubal Cabrera is the first Indians shortstop to be named a Sporting News All-Star since Lou Boudreau in 1948.

Inbox: Will Ubaldo, LaPorta reach expectations?

Will Ubaldo Jimenez and Matt LaPorta, who both came to the Indians with high expectations, ever be worth the price the club paid? Beat reporter Jordan Bastian looks inside his Inbox to answer fans' questions.

Indians need to lock up Asdrubal Cabrera - Comment of the Day

"It's always a gamble, of course, but I'd like to see the Tribe lock Astro up for five more years. Dude is coming into his own as a thumper." - sonnynono

Cleveland Indians: Should they pick up the options for Grady Sizemore and Fausto Carmona? - poll

If you were making the call, which player's option would you pick up? Both? Or neither?

Here's one potential upgrade for retained Mariners coaching staff: Grady Sizemore

Now that the Mariners have done what most people knew they were going to do and retained their entire coaching staff -- which was announced today -- it's time to get manager Eric Wedge and company a better team. Yeah, you can sit around and hope to develop every young player who passed through Seattle like it was conducting an open casting call for extras in a movie. Or, you...

It's decision time for the Cleveland Indians on Grady Sizemore and Fausto Carmona: Paul Hoynes analysis

It's decision time for the Indians regarding Grady Sizemore and Fausto Carmona. The Indians have until three days after the final game of the World Series to exercise $16 million in options or not.
Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
Help
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.