Originally posted on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 10/18/13
Mark Trumbo’s .234/34/100 stat line is the minimum you should expect from your 1B, according to FantasyBaseballCrackerjacks.com.I’m a big proponent of value, and maximizing value is priority number one for me when drafting. In fact, that’s my strategy in a nutshell. There’s no complicated, “OK, I’ll take an outfielder in the first three rounds and grab a starter in the fourth and sixth.”Nope. Drafts unfold in unexpected ways, and you need to be able to react on the fly. I find those kinds of draft strategies confining. For every single pick I ever make, here’s my general approach:Identify the best player at every positionRank them in terms from best to worst, regardless of position (considering risk factor)For each player, ask myself, “Can I get similar production in the next few rounds if I don’t pick [insert name]?”Identify which guys separate themselves most from the rest of their positionSelect the player I deem to be most valuable in terms of overall production relative to the options I’d have to settle for if I don’t select himThis process seems drawn out — truthfully, I could make a nifty spreadsheet based on that framework — but it takes place in just 90 seconds. Hopefully, I’ve begun weighing all my options before I’m on the clock, but that’s essentially what I do for every single draft pick.Our brains are pretty amazing, aren’t they?That’s what I’ve enjoyed most about the “Surveying the Positions” series going on right now at FantasyBaseballCrackerjacks.com. They look at current trends at each position and, most usefully, tell you what the worst-case starting player at each position can be expected to produce. This allows you to go into your draft knowing what stat line you can expect to find if you wait on a position, which helps with Step 3 in my five-step guide above.They’ve already looked at catcher and first base, so give them a look and let them know what you think!
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