Originally written on Waiting For Next Year  |  Last updated 8/29/12

Last night while trying to avoid the actual topic of the Indians losing to the A’s1 I decided it would be interesting to start discussing what kind of price Shin-Soo Choo could demand on the open market. We all like Choo (I think.) He is a player who should be part of any team’s solution as opposed to an issue. Still, he’s not to the level of a big-time premier free agent.

Choo batted 300 for three straight years with the Indians before faltering in 2011. 2012 has been something of a return to form for Choo as he’s batting 278 in a bad lineup on what has been a pretty bad team. He also turned 30 in July, so you have to assume his next contract could very well be his last, which brings us to point number one. How long a deal is Shin-Soo Choo likely to get? In my pragmatic mind, it seems to make sense for Choo to get a four-year deal with an option year of some kind, whether it be a player, team or mutual option. Jon seems to think with baseball being the way it is and Scott Boras being who he is, that Choo could be looking at a six year deal.

Ugh. Six years is a long time. Still, what kind of money are we talking about here? In my mind Shin-Soo Choo is a very good free agent, but certainly not a premier guy that would start a Prince Fielder bidding war. If I was putting a sincere value of what I think a guy like Choo should make on an annual basis I would put him in the $10-12 million annual range. Back to Jon, he suggested a scenario of six years and $13 million per year, similar to what Indians fans have recently endured with Travis Hafner.

Back in December of 2010, Jon wrote at length about Jayson Werth’s 7-year $126 million deal with the Washington Nationals and suggested that it was a precursor to Shin-Soo Choo’s contract negotiations. You’ll recall that deal runs past Werth’s 38th birthday paying him somewhere in the ballpark of $20 million. Ugh x 2.

More from Jon…

Well, believe it or not, Jayson Werth is about as good a comp for Shin-Soo Choo as exists.  Earlier this year I dug up a bunch of comparable players who were approaching arbitration, but none was quite as good a fit as Jayson Werth.  Both are corner outfielders with plus defensive skills.  Both are late-bloomers.  Both are good baserunners.  Both have quietly put together some very good, borderline great offensive seasons.  Both are represented by Scott Boras.

My premise originally was that Choo was about a $10 million per year player and that the Indians would be well-advised to pony up $10 million per year for Choo. That wasn’t to say that the Indians would do that, just that solid baseball players cost that much. I hadn’t figured on locking a guy up for six years and a minimum of $13 million per year.

So we’ll see if the market that produced Jayson Werth’s deal is still there when Choo goes hunting. It seems to me that it shouldn’t be, but nothing in baseball would shock me. When the league signs a deal that could pay each team $21+ million per year in national TV revenue, you just don’t know what the market will do.

That brings me to one final thought. Why wouldn’t the Indians take a gamble on Choo? Assuming he doesn’t end up an injured mess, the Indians should be able to trade him at some point if he turns out to be a guy they can’t use or can’t afford. We are talking about a league that saw Adrian Gonzalez, Josh Beckett and Carl Crawford get unloaded with some of the richest contracts in league history after the trade deadline. And Choo shouldn’t be as expensive as any of those three players.

More than likely, all this talk is for nothing though. I would bet Jon Heyman is right and the Indians will move Choo this winter.

(AP Photo/Gail Burton)

___________________________________

  1. By the way, why is it acceptable to have an apostrophe in their name? It is a little complex, but it is supposedly right.
GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Examining Bo Ryan's legacy at Wisconsin

World Cup semifinals preview: US-Japan, Germany-England

Tim Duncan to help Spurs pitch LaMarcus Aldridge

Report: Knicks gave up on signing Marc Gasol 'long ago'

Kings terminate Mike Richards' contract due to 'breach'

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Report: Nets believe they can trade Deron Williams

Mickelson likely committed no crime even if he gambled

Report: Dwyane Wade to decline option, become a free agent

Darren McFadden: I feel like a rookie again

Report: Mavericks a favorite to land DeAndre Jordan

Report: Kevin Love likely to re-sign with Cavaliers

Top seven storylines entering free agency around the NBA

Former FSU mascot killed in argument over gumbo recipe

Royals slipping in ASG voting, lose two more starters

Fred Smoot: I played with gay players, 'everyone knew'

Bobby Portis brings donuts for media at press conference

John Calipari shares his thoughts on Confederate flag

Steve Weatherford, Jason Kelce get into Twitter beef

Larry Nance Jr. apologized to 'Mr. Bryant' for rapist tweet

J.J. Watt 'tackles' stage crasher at Zac Brown Band show

Jimmy Butler reportedly wants to leave Bulls, sign with Lakers

Selecting the 2015 National League All-Stars

Taking a look at the Philadelphia Sixers' latest horde

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Mickelson linked to money laundering?

Reminiscing on 'Love & Basketball' 15 years later

Selecting the 2015 NL All-Stars

The Sixers' latest horde

Projected landing spots for NBA's top free agents

MLB changes format for Home Run Derby

Revis to work out with Patriots DBs

Peterson: I'm still NFL's best RB

Kobe gives great quote on friendship

Winners, losers and steals of the NHL Draft

Carmelo calls Porzingis a 'steal'

WATCH: J.J. Watt scores hockey goal

Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
Help
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.