PHOENIX -- Analytics helped Brandon McCarthy redefine his pitching style three years ago. Now they are keeping him sane.
McCarthy believes, and the Diamondbacks concur, that he is throwing the ball much better than the 0-3 record and 7.48 ERA that he will bring into Wednesdays start against San Francisco indicates.
He just might be right.
The new math is on his side.
In McCarthys first five starts, opponents have a .396 batting average against him on balls that have been put in play. The acronym is BABIP. That number is the batting average on opponents at-bats that do not result in a strikeout or a home run; that is, balls on which the defense can make a play (except for a sacrifice fly).
His BABIP is abnormally, irrationally and ridiculously high, more than 100 percentage points higher than his career average of .288, which also is about major league average. A statistician would believe a regression to the mean is inevitable.
It is, well, crazy.
I dont know whats happenin...