Next up in our projection series is David Wright. It was a tale of two seasons for Wright in 2012. In the beginning of the year he was an MVP candidate, playing his best ball in the majors ever. After the All-Star break, Wright was a completely different player, hitting worse than he did in 2011, when he posted a career-low .771 OPS.
Whether it is cause or effect, it’s impossible not to notice the difference in Wright’s strikeouts from when he was hot and when he was not. Here are his numbers in the two time periods mentioned above:
1st Half – .351/.441/.563 with a 13.2 K%
2nd Half – .258/.334/.416 with a 20.7 K%
Generally, splits have very little predictive value from year to year in populations as a whole. But in the particular case of Wright – because what he did after the All-Star break mirrors what he did in 2011 – they have to be a bit more of a concern than normal. So, with that in mind, here’s what our group thinks Wright will do in 2013: