I’m not exactly sure where Martin Prado‘s 17 steals came from last year — he’d totaled just 13 in his prior four seasons — but you won’t find me complaining. It was great to see him get back to his .300+ average after a down .260 mark in 2011, and you can thank a return to Prado’s line-drive ways for that. In 2011 Prado’s line drive rate was just 14.6%. In 2010 and 2012 (when he batted .307 and .301, respectively), it was 21.0% and 22.8%, respectively.
Now in Arizona, Prado is slated to bat fifth instead of second like he did in Atlanta. That means we’ll need to change our run and RBI projections for him when our 2013 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide comes out on March 1, but overall they’ll most likely balance out.
At a Glance
Strengths: BA, OBP, CS
Neutral: R, HR, RBI, SB, SLG, OPS
Best-case scenario: Dustin Pedroia (BOS)
Likely scenario: Brandon Phillips (CIN), Eric Hosmer (KC), Howie Kendrick (LAA)
Worst-case scenario: Zack Cozart (CIN)